16 local governments · 168 wards — no presidential prediction yet — run a model scenario to project this state.
Our crowd-sourced prediction for Taraba.
Who's running so far — not a result, the election hasn't happened yet.
The leading candidates for each office in Taraba, from the most recent election.
The people currently holding Taraba State's top elective offices — tap a row for the history of that seat.
| Office | Name | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|
Governor 2023–2027 | Agbu Kefas | APCelected PDP | ▸ |
Senator · Central 2023–2027 | Haruna Manu | PDP | ▸ |
Senator · North 2023–2027 | Shuaibu Isa Lau | PDP | ▸ |
Senator · South 2023–2027 | David Jimkuta | APC | ▸ |
Taraba's members in the 10th National Assembly (2023–2027), by federal constituency.
| Constituency | Member | Party |
|---|---|---|
| Bali/Gassol | Jaafaru Chiroma Yakubu | PDP |
| Gashaka/Kurmi/Sarduana | David Abel Fuoh | APC |
| Ibi/Wukari | Ayuba Dampar | APC |
| Jalingo/Yorro/Zing | Sadiq Abbas Tafida | PDP |
| Karim Lamido/Lau/Ardo Kola | Audu Mohammed Lauya | PDP |
| Takum/Donga/Ussa | Useni Mark Bako | PDP |
Ranked by the most votes we know they can pull — tap a row for their full vote history.
| # | Politician | Party | Votes can pull | Peak run | Strongest LGAs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DI Darius Ishaku Governor of Taraba State (2015–2023) | PDP | 520,433 | 2019 Governor · 57.21% | — |
| 2 | AD Abubakar Danladi Sani 2023 Senate candidate, Taraba North | APC | 362,735 | 2019 Governor · 39.87% | — |
| 3 | AK Agbu Kefas Won 2023 governorship | PDP | 302,614 | 2023 Governor | — |
| 4 | MS Muhammad Sani Yahaya 2023 governorship runner-up | NNPP | 202,277 | 2023 Governor | — |
| 5 | EB Emmanuel Bwacha 2023 governorship candidate | APC | 142,502 | 2023 Governor · 2 runs | — |
| 6 | SI Shuaibu Isa Lau Senator, Taraba North | PDP | 113,580 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 7 | YA YUSUF AHMED ADAMU 2019 senate candidate (APC) | APC | 111,412 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 8 | YA YUSUF ABUBAKAR YUSUF 2019 senate candidate (APC) | APC | 98,860 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 9 | BD BAKO DAHIRU GASSOL 2019 senate candidate (PDP) | PDP | 95,074 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 10 | RS RIMAMNDE SHAWULU KWEWUM 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 73,258 | 2019 house | — |
| 11 | D. DAVID .F. ABLE 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 63,013 | 2019 house | — |
| 12 | AI AMINU IBRAHIM MALLE 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 61,077 | 2019 house | — |
| 13 | DB DANLADI BAIDU TIJO 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 60,848 | 2019 house | — |
| 14 | H. HAMMAN-JULOE .G 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 54,739 | 2019 house | — |
| 15 | BM Bello Mohammed 2019 governor candidate (PPA) | PPA | 54,571 | 2019 house · 3 runs | — |
| 16 | BI BAUKA ISHAYA GAMGUM 2019 senate candidate (APC) | APC | 51,921 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 17 | HB HASSAN BAPPA 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 51,306 | 2019 house | — |
| 18 | JI JOEL IKENYA DANLAMI 2019 senate candidate (APGA) | APGA | 47,093 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 19 | AA ABUBAKAR ABDULLATEEF 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 45,137 | 2019 house | — |
| 20 | AM ADAMU MAIKAFI 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 40,050 | 2019 house | — |
| 21 | UD USMAN DANJUMA .S 2019 house candidate (APGA) | APGA | 39,312 | 2019 house | — |
| 22 | AA ATTA ALEXANDER .M 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 26,015 | 2019 house | — |
| 23 | SJ SIMAN JOHN 2019 senate candidate (SDP) | SDP | 24,698 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 24 | NK NAPHTALI KEFAS .A 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 24,575 | 2019 house | — |
| 25 | H. HARUNA .A. YAKUBU 2019 house candidate (AA) | AA | 22,147 | 2019 house | — |
| 26 | SK SABO KENTE JOSIAH 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 17,522 | 2019 house | — |
| 27 | AJ Aisha Jummai Alhassan 2019 governor candidate (UDP) | UDP | 16,289 | 2019 Governor · 1.79% | — |
| 28 | IA IBRAHIM ADAMU TUBASE 2019 senate candidate (UDP) | UDP | 15,123 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 29 | TY TOR-AGBIYE YAKUBU 2019 senate candidate (AA) | AA | 13,611 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 30 | NG NYANGANJI GILBERT GILLS 2019 senate candidate (APGA) | APGA | 13,319 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 31 | BK BALA KAMARUDEEN .Z 2019 house candidate (UDP) | UDP | 9,874 | 2019 house | — |
| 32 | AL ALMATI LEONARD WILSON 2019 house candidate (ACPN) | ACPN | 8,493 | 2019 house | — |
| 33 | OS OTHANIEL STEPHEN .B 2019 house candidate (UDP) | UDP | 8,349 | 2019 house | — |
| 34 | VA VAKI ABDULMUMINI 2019 senate candidate (UDP) | UDP | 7,653 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 35 | AA ABBI ABUBAKAR .A 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 6,433 | 2019 house | — |
| 36 | ND NURU DANTSOHO 2019 house candidate (UDP) | UDP | 5,887 | 2019 house | — |
| 37 | TS TIPPI SHUAIBU 2019 senate candidate (UDP) | UDP | 5,746 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 38 | AA ABDULAZEEZ ABUBAKAR IBRAHIM 2019 senate candidate (SDP) | SDP | 4,564 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 39 | AD Adamu Danbako Ibrahim 2019 governor candidate (APGA) | APGA | 4,098 | 2019 Governor · 0.45% | — |
| 40 | GS GANI SULE ANGYO 2019 house candidate (UDP) | UDP | 3,195 | 2019 house | — |
| 41 | IT IBIBON TUTUWA E 2019 house candidate (APGA) | APGA | 2,237 | 2019 house | — |
| 42 | CK CHARLES KAIGAMA 2019 senate candidate (APGA) | APGA | 2,180 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 43 | MM MISA MUHAMMED 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 1,654 | 2019 house | — |
| 44 | IS IBRAHIM SANI 2019 senate candidate (NRM) | NRM | 1,635 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 45 | AN ABUBAKAR NDOTTUO 2019 house candidate (UDP) | UDP | 1,551 | 2019 house | — |
| 46 | BA BATURE ADAMA ZAKARI 2019 senate candidate (ACPN) | ACPN | 1,305 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 47 | MB Musa Bah Kanawa 2019 governor candidate (YDP) | YDP | 1,208 | 2019 Governor · 0.13% | — |
| 48 | BA BALA ABDULKARIM 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 1,152 | 2019 house | — |
| 49 | SB Stephen Bishi 2019 governor candidate (SDP) | SDP | 743 | 2019 Governor · 0.08% | — |
| 50 | DU Danjuma Umaru 2019 governor candidate (NRM) | NRM | 730 | 2019 Governor · 0.08% | — |
| 51 | UA USMAN AJIYA ABBAS 2019 house candidate (NRM) | NRM | 716 | 2019 house | — |
| 52 | AH ADAMU HASSAN MUHAMMED 2019 house candidate (YDP) | YDP | 656 | 2019 house | — |
| 53 | SS Sani Saidi 2019 governor candidate (AGA) | AGA | 594 | 2019 Governor · 0.07% | — |
| 54 | KJ Kwaghkar Julius Mberga 2019 governor candidate (AA) | AA | 471 | 2019 Governor · 0.05% | — |
| 55 | BA BELLO ABDULHAMEED 2019 senate candidate (PPA) | PPA | 446 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 56 | NM NASIRU MOHAMMED ALI 2019 senate candidate (ACPN) | ACPN | 436 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 57 | B. BELLO .A ABBA 2019 house candidate (YDP) | YDP | 410 | 2019 house | — |
| 58 | AY ALIYU YUSUF .A 2019 house candidate (YDP) | YDP | 395 | 2019 house | — |
| 59 | UH UMAR HUSMAN .Z 2019 house candidate (AGA) | AGA | 379 | 2019 house | — |
| 60 | SA SALIHU ABUBAKAR .R 2019 house candidate (A) | A | 369 | 2019 house | — |
| 61 | AU ADAMU UMAR 2019 senate candidate (ANP) | ANP | 361 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 62 | DI DAUDA ISA G 2019 senate candidate (SDP) | SDP | 337 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 63 | MG MONGU-PARK GAJERE JEN 2019 senate candidate (AGA) | AGA | 314 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 64 | AD AGBU DANGANA 2019 senate candidate (AGA) | AGA | 308 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 65 | AA ATOSHI ADI AGBU 2019 senate candidate (YDP) | YDP | 267 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 66 | FA Faruk Alhaji Muhammed 2019 governor candidate (DPP) | DPP | 265 | 2019 Governor · 0.03% | — |
| 67 | M MAIBILE 2019 house candidate (PPA) | PPA | 255 | 2019 house | — |
| 68 | AU Ahmadu Umaru Salim 2019 governor candidate (YPP) | YPP | 249 | 2019 Governor · 0.03% | — |
| 69 | MH MOHAMMED HASSAN 2019 senate candidate (AGA) | AGA | 239 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 70 | DS DANJUMA SHUAIBU TSAKWA 2019 senate candidate (ACD) | ACD | 230 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 71 | TA TAFIDA ALAMIN SULEIMAN 2019 house candidate (A) | A | 216 | 2019 house | — |
| 72 | LC LAWRENCE COMFORT 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 211 | 2019 house | — |
| 73 | UM UMAR MOHAMMED .M 2019 house candidate (ADC) | ADC | 198 | 2019 house | — |
| 74 | KS Kefas Sule 2019 governor candidate (ABP) | ABP | 194 | 2019 Governor · 0.02% | — |
| 75 | MH MANZO HADIZA MOHAMMED 2019 senate candidate (ADC) | ADC | 183 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 76 | IM Ibrahim Manzo Mohammed 2019 governor candidate (ADC) | ADC | 168 | 2019 Governor · 0.02% | — |
| 77 | US USMAN SHAIBU 2019 senate candidate (LP) | LP | 161 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 78 | MN MUSA NNDCYANGCHU KURUST 2019 senate candidate (ADC) | ADC | 161 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 79 | IS IRIMIYA SOLOMON .A 2019 house candidate (AGA) | AGA | 160 | 2019 house | — |
| 80 | AB Ahmed Bala Gassol 2019 governor candidate (PPN) | PPN | 153 | 2019 Governor · 0.02% | — |
| 81 | IA ISA ADAMU .H 2019 house candidate (PPN) | PPN | 137 | 2019 house | — |
| 82 | KO KONDOM OBADIAH 2019 house candidate (ACPN) | ACPN | 121 | 2019 house | — |
| 83 | MA MOHAMMED ARUNA .S 2019 house candidate (ANP) | ANP | 118 | 2019 house | — |
| 84 | YU YUNUSA UMAR KARIM 2019 senate candidate (DPP) | DPP | 114 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 85 | EG EDWARD GEOFFREY 2019 senate candidate (ADP) | ADP | 106 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 86 | RH RAUTA HABIBA INNOCENT 2019 house candidate (ACD) | ACD | 105 | 2019 house | — |
| 87 | TI THEOPHILUS INNOCENT B 2019 senate candidate (ACD) | ACD | 93 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 88 | JM Japhet Magdalene Tobbi 2019 governor candidate (NAC) | NAC | 91 | 2019 Governor · 0.01% | — |
| 89 | BH Banti Henry Haniel 2019 governor candidate (APP) | APP | 89 | 2019 Governor · 0.01% | — |
| 90 | UA Umar Abubakar 2019 governor candidate (ACD) | ACD | 85 | 2019 Governor · 0.01% | — |
| 91 | ST SAMBO TUKUR IBRAHIM 2019 house candidate (YPP) | YPP | 85 | 2019 house | — |
| 92 | TL TITUS LADI 2019 house candidate (AGA) | AGA | 84 | 2019 house | — |
| 93 | BB BABANGIDA BABAN ZAURE 2019 senate candidate (NRM) | NRM | 81 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 94 | ME MUSA EZEKIEL 2019 senate candidate (APP) | APP | 80 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 95 | AS ADAMU SHEHU DANAZUMI 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 80 | 2019 house | — |
| 96 | DY Dahiru Yunusa Shagarda 2019 governor candidate (A) | A | 77 | 2019 Governor · 0.01% | — |
| 97 | AM Ahmad Murtala Isah 2019 governor candidate (NDLP) | NDLP | 77 | 2019 Governor · 0.01% | — |
| 98 | NZ NASIRU ZUBAIRU 2019 house candidate (ACD) | ACD | 71 | 2019 house | — |
| 99 | BK Bala Kabiru 2019 governor candidate (ACPN) | ACPN | 69 | 2019 Governor · 0.01% | — |
| 100 | PS Phillip Soje Shin 2019 governor candidate (MPN) | MPN | 69 | 2019 Governor · 0.01% | — |
| 101 | YI YAKUBU ISA INDA 2019 house candidate (PPN) | PPN | 68 | 2019 house | — |
| 102 | AS ALH. SAADU ABUBAKAR HASSAN 2019 senate candidate (YPP) | YPP | 67 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 103 | MB MOHAMMED BUBA 2019 senate candidate (DA) | DA | 64 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 104 | AY AMADU YAKUBU 2019 senate candidate (YPP) | YPP | 62 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 105 | GA GALADIMA ANTHONY 2019 senate candidate (ACD) | ACD | 60 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 106 | IJ IBRAHIM JUBRIL MUHAMMED 2019 house candidate (ACD) | ACD | 55 | 2019 house | — |
| 107 | AM ALIYU MUHAMMAD ABUBAKAR 2019 senate candidate (DA) | DA | 54 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 108 | MM MUSA MOHAMMED 2019 senate candidate (YPP) | YPP | 53 | 2019 Senate · 2 runs | — |
| 109 | BK Bagarmi Kamaludeen Muhammed Soje 2019 governor candidate (MRDD) | MRDD | 49 | 2019 Governor · 0.01% | — |
| 110 | HM HASSAN MUSA 2019 senate candidate (NRM) | NRM | 46 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 111 | IM Issa Musa 2019 governor candidate (ZLP) | ZLP | 45 | 2019 Governor · 0% | — |
| 112 | BD Bala Danlami Adi 2019 governor candidate (LP) | LP | 44 | 2019 Governor · 0% | — |
| 113 | TB TALADIMA BUBA 2019 house candidate (DPP) | DPP | 44 | 2019 house | — |
| 114 | H. HASSAN .K. IBRAHIM 2019 house candidate (PPA) | PPA | 42 | 2019 house | — |
| 115 | YD YAKUBU DANIEL ELDER 2019 senate candidate (JMPP) | JMPP | 41 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 116 | JG JANGUS GOTONG .G 2019 house candidate (ACPN) | ACPN | 39 | 2019 house | — |
| 117 | DM DAVID MOSES ARUNA 2019 house candidate (PPA) | PPA | 39 | 2019 house | — |
| 118 | TJ TELLA JOHN .D 2019 house candidate (JMPP) | JMPP | 39 | 2019 house | — |
| 119 | PJ Paul Jamasuru Tankwa 2019 governor candidate (MAJA) | MAJA | 37 | 2019 Governor · 0% | — |
| 120 | UA UMAR ALHAJI AHMAD 2019 senate candidate (DA) | DA | 37 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 121 | BA Bello A. Ahmed 2019 governor candidate (DA) | DA | 32 | 2019 Governor · 0% | — |
| 122 | KA KISHIMA ABDULAZEEZ SULE 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 32 | 2019 house | — |
| 123 | GN GUBAI NICO 2019 house candidate (LP) | LP | 31 | 2019 house | — |
| 124 | YA YUSHAU ABUBAKAR 2019 house candidate (DA) | DA | 29 | 2019 house | — |
| 125 | GY GANIGHA YEBA 2019 house candidate (AGA) | AGA | 27 | 2019 house | — |
| 126 | AS ABIYEMI SALIHU 2019 house candidate (DPP) | DPP | 27 | 2019 house | — |
| 127 | GJ GABBA JOSEPH UBANDOMA 2019 house candidate (APP) | APP | 26 | 2019 house | — |
| 128 | GD GWI DANIEL JACOB 2019 house candidate (YPP) | YPP | 25 | 2019 house | — |
| 129 | BM BILYA MOHAMMED 2019 house candidate (DA) | DA | 24 | 2019 house | — |
| 130 | SU SILAS USMAN JEN 2019 senate candidate (ABP) | ABP | 22 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 131 | BI BUBA ISA 2019 house candidate (YPP) | YPP | 22 | 2019 house | — |
| 132 | UA Utsumiu-Nyen Akin Ishaya Missa 2019 governor candidate (CAP) | CAP | 21 | 2019 Governor · 0% | — |
| 133 | AR Abdullahi Rabsanjani 2019 governor candidate (GDPN) | GDPN | 20 | 2019 Governor · 0% | — |
| 134 | PI PATRICIA INNOCENT 2019 house candidate (ACD) | ACD | 19 | 2019 house | — |
| 135 | UB USMAN BABANGIDA 2019 house candidate (MRDD) | MRDD | 18 | 2019 house | — |
| 136 | SA Sanusi A. T. Hamza 2019 governor candidate (FJP) | FJP | 17 | 2019 Governor · 0% | — |
| 137 | AH ABDULSALAM HABIBU .E 2019 house candidate (LP) | LP | 17 | 2019 house | — |
| 138 | YH YAHYA HABILA 2019 house candidate (ACPN) | ACPN | 14 | 2019 house | — |
| 139 | PA PIUS ABEZ VIAH 2019 house candidate (NAC) | NAC | 13 | 2019 house | — |
| 140 | DI DOGARA ISMAIL 2019 house candidate (NRM) | NRM | 13 | 2019 house | — |
| 141 | MM MUSA MUSA IRARIMAM .F 2019 house candidate (PPN) | PPN | 10 | 2019 house | — |
| 142 | AI ALIYU ILIYASU 2019 house candidate (DA) | DA | 10 | 2019 house | — |
| 143 | BT BAKO TONAH 2019 house candidate (ADP) | ADP | 10 | 2019 house | — |
| 144 | HM Haruna Manu Senator, Taraba Central | PDP | — | — | — |
| 145 | DJ David Jimkuta Senator, Taraba South | APC | — | — | — |
| 146 | DS Danbaba Suntai Governor of Taraba State (2007–2015) | PDP | — | — | — |
| 147 | BM Bashir Marafa 2023 Senate candidate, Taraba Central | APC | — | — | — |
The past results and contributor inputs the 2027 prediction above is built from.
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atiku / Okowa | PDP | 57,200 | 33.6% |
| 2 | Tinubu / Shettima | APC | 49,454 | 29.1% |
| 3 | Obi / Baba-Ahmed | LP | 41,683 | 24.5% |
| 4 | Kwankwaso / Idahosa | NNPP | 4,901 | 2.9% |
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atiku / Obi | PDP | 374,743 | 53.6% |
| 2 | Buhari / Osinbajo | APC | 324,906 | 46.4% |
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agbu Kefas | PDP | 302,614 | 46.7% |
| 2 | Muhammad Sani Yahaya | NNPP | 202,277 | 31.2% |
| 3 | Emmanuel Bwacha | APC | 142,502 | 22.0% |
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DARIUS DICKSON ISHAKU | PDP | 520,433 | 57.2% |
| 2 | ABUBAKAR SANI DANLADI | APC | 362,735 | 39.9% |
| 3 | Aisha Jummai Alhassan | UDP | 16,289 | 1.8% |
| 4 | Adamu Danbako Ibrahim | APGA | 4,098 | 0.5% |
| 5 | Musa Bah Kanawa | YDP | 1,208 | 0.1% |
| 6 | Stephen Bishi | SDP | 743 | 0.1% |
| 7 | Danjuma Umaru | NRM | 730 | 0.1% |
| 8 | Sani Saidi | AGA | 594 | 0.1% |
| 9 | Bello Mohammed | PPA | 564 | 0.1% |
| 10 | Kwaghkar Julius Mberga | AA | 471 | 0.1% |
| 11 | Faruk Alhaji Muhammed | DPP | 265 | 0.0% |
| 12 | Ahmadu Umaru Salim | YPP | 249 | 0.0% |
| 13 | Kefas Sule | ABP | 194 | 0.0% |
| 14 | Ibrahim Manzo Mohammed | ADC | 168 | 0.0% |
| 15 | Ahmed Bala Gassol | PPN | 153 | 0.0% |
| 16 | Japhet Magdalene Tobbi | NAC | 91 | 0.0% |
| 17 | Banti Henry Haniel | APP | 89 | 0.0% |
| 18 | Umar Abubakar | ACD | 85 | 0.0% |
| 19 | Dahiru Yunusa Shagarda | A | 77 | 0.0% |
| 20 | Ahmad Murtala Isah | NDLP | 77 | 0.0% |
| 21 | Bala Kabiru | ACPN | 69 | 0.0% |
| 22 | Phillip Soje Shin | MPN | 69 | 0.0% |
| 23 | Bagarmi Kamaludeen Muhammed Soje | MRDD | 49 | 0.0% |
| 24 | Issa Musa | ZLP | 45 | 0.0% |
| 25 | Bala Danlami Adi | LP | 44 | 0.0% |
| 26 | Paul Jamasuru Tankwa | MAJA | 37 | 0.0% |
| 27 | Bello A. Ahmed | DA | 32 | 0.0% |
| 28 | Utsumiu-Nyen Akin Ishaya Missa | CAP | 21 | 0.0% |
| 29 | Abdullahi Rabsanjani | GDPN | 20 | 0.0% |
| 30 | Sanusi A. T. Hamza | FJP | 17 | 0.0% |
Illustrative projections aggregated from contributor traces. See our methodology.