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Nasarawa State 2027 Election Analysis

Projected 2027 results for Nasarawa.

+ Add Your Prediction
Top 5 LGAs by Vote — 2023 Presidential
All LGAs →
#LGALeaderVotes% of state
1KaruLP77,13417.6%
2LafiaAPC76,37817.5%
3NasarawaAPC61,17014.0%
4ObiLP38,7268.9%
5KeffiAPC30,3546.9%
AkwangaAweDomaKaruKeanaKeffiKokonaLafiaNasarawaNassarawaEgonObiTotoWamba77,134
No prediction yet
Wards

13 local governments · 147 wards — no presidential prediction yet — run a model scenario to project this state.

View all wards & polling units →
Lafia
Capital
NA
State code
Voters & votes
Presidential votes · 2023540,566
Registered voters · 2019573,750
Presidential votes · 2019573,750
Governorship votes · 2019670,878
Population statistics
Active phone lines · 20213,876,828
Active phone lines · 20203,955,483
NIN enrolment
Male 1,230,843 · Female 898,533
2,129,376

2027 Election Trend

Our crowd-sourced prediction for Nasarawa.

No forecast published yet
A Nasarawa projection will show here once contributor analyses are aggregated.

2027 Declared Candidates

Who's running so far — not a result, the election hasn't happened yet.

Presidential · 2027

Historical Candidates · 2023

The leading candidates for each office in Nasarawa, from the most recent election.

Presidential · 2023
1
LP156,605
2
APC149,726
3
PDP116,478
4
NNPP10,737
Governor · 2023
1
APC347,209
2
PDP283,016
Senatorial · 2023

Incumbents

The people currently holding Nasarawa State's top elective offices — tap a row for the history of that seat.

OfficeNameParty
Governor
2023–2027
Abdullahi SuleAPC▸
Senator · North
2023–2027
Godiya AkwashikiSDP▸
Senator · South
2023–2027
Mohammed Ogoshi OnawoPDP▸
Senator · West
2023–2027
Ahmed Aliyu WadadaSDP▸

2027 Heavyweight Politicians

Ranked by the most votes we know they can pull — tap a row for their full vote history.

View every politician in Nasarawa (including minor candidates) →
#PoliticianPartyVotes can pullPeak runStrongest LGAs
1
AS
Abdullahi Sule
Won 2023 governorship
APC347,2092023 Governor · 53.1%—
2
AA
AUDU ALHAJI SULE
Won 2019 governorship
APC327,2292019 Governor · 48.78%—
3
DO
David Ombugadu
2023 governorship runner-up
PDP283,0162023 Governor · 43.28% · 2 runs—
4
LM
LABARAN MAKU
2019 governorship candidate
APGA132,7842019 Governor · 19.79%—
5
AA
ABDULLAHI ADAMU
2019 senate candidate (APC)
APC115,2982019 Senate—
6
UT
Umaru Tanko Al-Makura
Governor of Nasarawa State (2011–2019)
APC113,1562019 Senate—
7
AS
ADOKWE SULEIMAN ASONYA
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP104,5952019 Senate—
8
GJ
GAZA JONATHAN GBEFWI
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP92,2822019 house—
9
BA
BALA AHMED ALIYU
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP85,6152019 Senate—
10
AS
ABUBAKAR SARKI DAHIRU
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC61,9922019 house—
11
JO
JACOB OKARI OWA
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC59,6612019 house—
12
AU
ABDULKARIM USMAN
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP57,3222019 house—
13
GA
Godiya Akwashiki
Senator, Nasarawa North
SDP54,1042019 Senate—
14
DJ
DR. JOSEPH HARUNA KIGBU
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP52,3922019 house—
15
JM
JOHN MICHAEL ABDUL
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP48,1332019 Senate—
16
HA
HASSAN ABUBAKAR NALARABA
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC41,5352019 house—
17
DM
DR. MUHAMMED ABDULLAHI YAU
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC40,8482019 house—
18
AM
ARI MUHAMMED ABDULMUMIN
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC33,1972019 house—
19
AI
ABUBAKAR IDRIS GANI
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP30,4102019 house—
20
NK
NGHARGBU K'TSO
2019 senate candidate (APGA)
APGA28,8572019 Senate—
21
MM
MAKPA MALLA
2019 house candidate (APGA)
APGA22,4342019 house—
22
HE
HON. ELISHA AGWADU
2019 house candidate (APGA)
APGA19,2392019 house—
23
MA
MUSA AHMED MOHAMMED
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP17,6952019 house—
24
AS
ALU SAMUEL
2019 senate candidate (APGA)
APGA15,7882019 Senate—
25
EA
EMMANUEL ABARI
2019 house candidate (ZLP)
ZLP14,6062019 house—
26
IU
Ibio Umar Aliyu Doma
2019 governor candidate (ZLP)
ZLP13,3072019 Governor · 1.98%—
27
AA
AL-ASI ABDULLAHI IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP9,3332019 house—
28
IA
Ishaq Ahmed Kana
2019 governor candidate (SDP)
SDP7,4422019 Governor · 1.11%—
29
AP
AKWASHIKI PATRICIA NAOMI
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC6,2872019 Senate—
30
IL
INNOCENT LAGI DANIEL
2019 senate candidate (LP)
LP5,8432019 Senate—
31
AG
ADAMS GWANWA NYISANA
2019 house candidate (APGA)
APGA5,3842019 house—
32
AA
ALIYU AGNES ASHEUSTLA
2019 house candidate (NNPP)
NNPP3,9372019 house—
33
MA
MUSA ABUBAKAR SAMBO
2019 senate candidate (RBNP)
RBNP3,7442019 Senate—
34
EB
EMMANUEL BAKO
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP3,7232019 house—
35
DU
DAWUD USMAN MUHAMMED
2019 house candidate (ADP)
ADP2,8602019 house—
36
AM
ADAMU MUSA SAIDU
2019 senate candidate (APGA)
APGA2,8472019 Senate—
37
BE
BAKYU EMMANUEL
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP2,8042019 house—
38
UW
USMAN WAKASO
2019 senate candidate (ZLP)
ZLP2,4892019 Senate—
39
SA
SAMUEL ANJUGU AVRE
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP2,2062019 Senate—
40
AG
ALIYU GAMBO
2019 house candidate (ZLP)
ZLP2,0432019 house—
41
SU
Suleiman Umaru Ajaja
2019 governor candidate (ADP)
ADP1,3552019 Governor · 0.2%—
42
ZR
Zaggi Rabo Zakka
2019 governor candidate (ADC)
ADC1,3192019 Governor · 0.2%—
43
MM
Mustapha Momammed Alfa
2019 governor candidate (APM)
APM7732019 Governor · 0.12%—
44
TM
Tanko Malam
2019 governor candidate (PPA)
PPA6792019 Governor · 0.1%—
45
TZ
TANKO ZUBAIRU ABDULKADIR
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN5822019 house—
46
AA
Animiku Anthony Kukumah
2019 governor candidate (AGA)
AGA5262019 Governor · 0.08%—
47
AD
ATTAH DAVID
2019 senate candidate (PT)
PT5222019 Senate—
48
SG
SHUKI GODWIN BISHARA
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP5062019 house—
49
AS
ADAGADZU SIMON JOSEPH
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP4792019 house—
50
ER
ELADOGA RAKIYA ABUBAKAR
2019 senate candidate (ADP)
ADP3892019 Senate—
51
OA
OMAKU ASAMU ISAAC
2019 house candidate (APGA)
APGA3372019 house—
52
AI
ANGA INUSA MOHAMMED OMBUGU
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP2782019 Senate—
53
AD
Aliyu Danjuma Dogara
2019 governor candidate (ND)
ND2582019 Governor · 0.04%—
54
MA
Mohammed Ahmadu Adamu
2019 governor candidate (PPN)
PPN1862019 Governor · 0.03%—
55
UM
UMAR MOHAMMED OZEGHA
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP1832019 Senate—
56
SS
SOLOMON SUNDAY AKU
2019 house candidate (ADP)
ADP1502019 house—
57
YY
YUSUF YUNUSA MOHAMMED
2019 house candidate (ZLP)
ZLP1462019 house—
58
AH
ADAMU HUSSAINI AUTA
2019 senate candidate (ZLP)
ZLP1372019 Senate—
59
AB
AYIWULU BABA AYIWULU
2019 senate candidate (NNPP)
NNPP1352019 Senate—
60
IB
IDRIS BABA
2019 senate candidate (NFD)
NFD1332019 Senate—
61
AY
ABUBAKAR YUSUF DANLAMI
2019 house candidate (PPA)
PPA1332019 house—
62
OB
OMBAGADO BALA JOHN
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT1202019 house—
63
NS
NAMO SAMSON AYALO
2019 senate candidate (FRESH)
FRESH1012019 Senate—
64
OV
Ombugadu Victor
2019 governor candidate (ACD)
ACD972019 Governor · 0.01%—
65
OA
OWAKAYI ABDULRAHMAN OSE
2019 senate candidate (LP)
LP932019 Senate—
66
SY
Sale Yahaya Alaji
2019 governor candidate (PPC)
PPC852019 Governor · 0.01% · 2 runs—
67
MI
MAJI INNOCENT
2019 senate candidate (NCP)
NCP852019 Senate—
68
UY
UMAR YUKUBU YUNUSA
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN852019 house—
69
MT
MOHAMMED TAJIRI SANI
2019 senate candidate (PPA)
PPA832019 Senate—
70
AA
Anjugu Abimku Moses
2019 governor candidate (JMPP)
JMPP822019 Governor · 0.01%—
71
HI
Haruna Iliyasu Shauaibu
2019 governor candidate (ID)
ID792019 Governor · 0.01%—
72
SY
SULEIMAN YUSUF KYA-SHULLU
2019 house candidate (AGA)
AGA792019 house—
73
AI
AHMED IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (PPA)
PPA772019 Senate—
74
MA
Matthew Avre Ombugaku
2019 governor candidate (RN)
RN722019 Governor · 0.01%—
75
SA
SULAIMAN ABUBAKAR MAINA
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC702019 Senate—
76
KM
KANO MOHAMMED ALI
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA542019 house—
77
HA
HON AKOLO HARUNA FIDELIS
2019 house candidate (NFD)
NFD532019 house—
78
YH
YUSUF HASSAN MUHAMMED
2019 senate candidate (APM)
APM522019 Senate—
79
MA
Mohammed Awwal Suleiman
2019 governor candidate (KP)
KP492019 Governor · 0.01%—
80
MN
MOHAMMED NURUDEEN UMAR
2019 senate candidate (PT)
PT492019 Senate—
81
ZR
ZAKARRIYA RILWANT TANKO
2019 senate candidate (LP)
LP482019 Senate—
82
NM
Nyam Mark Maida
2019 governor candidate (PT)
PT462019 Governor · 0.01%—
83
GL
GABU LAWRENCE ANDREW
2019 senate candidate (APM)
APM452019 Senate—
84
AS
ABDULKAREEM SULEMAN AKWE
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA402019 Senate—
85
JS
JOHN SAGU M.
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP392019 Senate—
86
AA
AGYEWALDASHO ABDULLAHI UMAR
2019 senate candidate (ACD)
ACD392019 Senate—
87
IT
Ismalia Taofiq
2019 governor candidate (DPC)
DPC382019 Governor · 0.01%—
88
PH
Peter Helen
2019 governor candidate (MMN)
MMN382019 Governor · 0.01%—
89
AA
ANTHONY AKIKA
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT382019 house—
90
OO
ODEH OGAH ELIJAH
2019 senate candidate (APM)
APM362019 Senate—
91
BA
Bako Ahmed
2019 governor candidate (NMP)
NMP332019 Governor · 0%—
92
KD
Kreni Danju Mantani
2019 governor candidate (YPP)
YPP332019 Governor · 0%—
93
UG
Umar Galadima
2023 Senate candidate, Nasarawa West
PDP312019 Senate—
94
BB
BAHAGO BITRUS
2019 senate candidate (PT)
PT312019 Senate—
95
SS
SHUAIBU SALISU ABDULRAZAK
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP312019 house—
96
II
IBRAHIM IDRIS JIBRIN
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP302019 house—
97
AJ
Aba Joseph R.
2019 governor candidate (ASD)
ASD282019 Governor · 0%—
98
AA
ABDULLAHI ALIYU
2019 senate candidate (PPN)
PPN242019 Senate—
99
YS
YAHUZA SAGIR IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP242019 Senate—
100
AY
ADAMU YAHAYA BABANGATA
2019 house candidate (KP)
KP222019 house—
101
AI
AHMED IDRIS SALISU
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA212019 Senate—
102
JA
JIBRIN ALIYU
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT212019 house—
103
EA
EGGA AUDU JAMES
2019 house candidate (NNPP)
NNPP212019 house—
104
BD
BUHARI DANLAMI BARAU
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP202019 house—
105
TS
TANKO SALISU ABDULHAMID
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP202019 house—
106
SK
SARKI KABIRU
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA192019 Senate—
107
DU
DANIEL UMARU
2019 senate candidate (PRP)
PRP192019 Senate—
108
TG
Theohius Gyado Madaki
2019 governor candidate (CAP)
CAP162019 Governor · 0%—
109
MK
MAISAJE KINGSLEY
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP152019 house—
110
MY
MOSES YAKUBU EDE
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT152019 house—
111
MF
MUH'D FATIMA LADAN
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA142019 house—
112
AA
ADAMU ALIYU DOGARA
2019 house candidate (UPC)
UPC142019 house—
113
LU
LIMAN UMAR ABUBAKAR
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA132019 house—
114
HM
HASSAN MICHAH ELANG
2019 house candidate (APM)
APM132019 house—
115
MD
MUHAMMED DIRISU ISAH
2019 house candidate (NRM)
NRM132019 house—
116
MN
Mohammed Nazir Adamu
2019 governor candidate (GPN)
GPN122019 Governor · 0%—
117
CS
Cerrone Solo Waziri
2019 governor candidate (MAJAP)
MAJAP122019 Governor · 0%—
118
KS
KATIMI SAIDU ISA
2019 senate candidate (MMN)
MMN122019 Senate—
119
AD
ANJUBU DANJUMA ESHA
2019 house candidate (JMPP)
JMPP122019 house—
120
MA
MICHAEL ANZAKU
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP112019 Senate—
121
DD
DOUGLAS DADA
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT112019 house—
122
MO
Mohammed Ogoshi Onawo
Senator, Nasarawa South
PDP———
123
AA
Ahmed Aliyu Wadada
Senator, Nasarawa West
SDP———
124
AA
Aliyu Akwe Doma
Governor of Nasarawa State (2007–2011)
PDP———
125
DH
Danladi Halilu Envulu'Anza
2023 Senate candidate, Nasarawa North
APC———
126
NO
Nathaniel Obin Aboki
2023 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP———
127
US
UMARU SADAMU MUH'D
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN———
Underlying source data
Political Data for Nasarawa State

The past results and contributor inputs the 2027 prediction above is built from.

2023 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Obi / Baba-AhmedLP156,60535.8%
2Tinubu / ShettimaAPC149,72634.2%
3Atiku / OkowaPDP116,47826.6%
4Kwankwaso / IdahosaNNPP10,7372.5%
2019 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Buhari / OsinbajoAPC289,90350.5%
2Atiku / ObiPDP283,84749.5%
2023 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Abdullahi SuleAPC347,20953.1%
2David OmbugaduPDP283,01643.3%
2019 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1AUDU ALHAJI SULEAPC327,22948.8%
2DAVID EMMANUEL OMBUGADUPDP184,28127.5%
3LABARAN MAKUAPGA132,78419.8%
4Ibio Umar Aliyu DomaZLP13,3072.0%
5Ishaq Ahmed KanaSDP7,4421.1%
6Suleiman Umaru AjajaADP1,3550.2%
7Zaggi Rabo ZakkaADC1,3190.2%
8Mustapha Momammed AlfaAPM7730.1%
9Tanko MalamPPA6790.1%
10Animiku Anthony KukumahAGA5260.1%
11Aliyu Danjuma DogaraND2580.0%
12Mohammed Ahmadu AdamuPPN1860.0%
13Ombugadu VictorACD970.0%
14Sale Yahaya AlajiPPC850.0%
15Anjugu Abimku MosesJMPP820.0%
16Haruna Iliyasu ShauaibuID790.0%
17Matthew Avre OmbugakuRN720.0%
18Mohammed Awwal SuleimanKP490.0%
19Nyam Mark MaidaPT460.0%
20Ismalia TaofiqDPC380.0%
21Peter HelenMMN380.0%
22Bako AhmedNMP330.0%
23Kreni Danju MantaniYPP330.0%
24Aba Joseph R.ASD280.0%
25Theohius Gyado MadakiCAP160.0%
26Sale Yahaya AlajiPRP120.0%
27Mohammed Nazir AdamuGPN120.0%
28Cerrone Solo WaziriMAJAP120.0%
29Khalid Shuaibu MairigaDA70.0%
Predictions on record
+ Add your prediction
No predictions yet for Nasarawa.

Illustrative projections aggregated from contributor traces. See our methodology.

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