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Kaduna State 2027 Election Analysis

Projected 2027 results for Kaduna.

+ Add Your Prediction
Top 5 LGAs by Vote — 2023 Presidential
All LGAs →
#LGALeaderVotes% of state
1ZariaPDP98,6629.3%
2Kaduna SouthPDP97,2939.2%
3ChikunLP86,4368.1%
4Kaduna NorthPDP68,8556.5%
5LerePDP60,7885.7%
BirninGwariChikunGiwaIgabiIkaraJabaJema'aKachiaKadunaNorthKadunaSouthKagarkoKajuruKauraKauruKubauKudanLereMakarfiSabonGariSangaSobaZangonKatafZaria98,662
No prediction yet
Wards

23 local governments · 255 wards — no presidential prediction yet — run a model scenario to project this state.

View all wards & polling units →
Kaduna
Capital
KD
State code
Voters & votes
Presidential votes · 20231,360,153
Registered voters · 20191,643,057
Presidential votes · 20191,643,057
Governorship votes · 20191,889,714
Population statistics
Active phone lines · 20218,608,198
Active phone lines · 20208,591,911
NIN enrolment
Male 3,552,194 · Female 2,898,887
6,451,081

2027 Election Trend

Our crowd-sourced prediction for Kaduna.

No forecast published yet
A Kaduna projection will show here once contributor analyses are aggregated.

2027 Declared Candidates

Who's running so far — not a result, the election hasn't happened yet.

Presidential · 2027

Historical Candidates · 2023

The leading candidates for each office in Kaduna, from the most recent election.

Presidential · 2023
1
PDP436,823
2
APC318,010
3
LP233,663
4
NNPP70,380
Governor · 2023
1
APC730,002
2
PDP719,196
Senatorial · 2023

Incumbents

The people currently holding Kaduna State's top elective offices — tap a row for the history of that seat.

OfficeNameParty
Governor
2023–2027
Uba SaniAPC▸
Senator · Central
2023–2027
Lawal Adamu UsmanPDP▸
Senator · North
2023–2027
Ibrahim Khalid MustaphaPDP▸
Senator · South
2023–2027
Sunday Marshall KatungPDP▸

2027 Heavyweight Politicians

Ranked by the most votes we know they can pull — tap a row for their full vote history.

View every politician in Kaduna (including minor candidates) →
#PoliticianPartyVotes can pullPeak runStrongest LGAs
1
NA
NASIR AHMAD EL-RUFAI
Won 2019 governorship
APC1,045,4272019 Governor · 55.32%—
2
IA
Isa Ashiru
2023 governorship runner-up
PDP814,1682019 Governor · 43.08% · 2 runs—
3
US
Uba Sani
Won 2023 governorship
APC730,0022023 Governor · 47.2% · 2 runs—
4
SA
Suleiman Abdu Kwari
Senator-elect, Kaduna North
APC411,4972019 Senate—
5
LD
LAAH DANJUMA TELLA
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP268,9232019 Senate—
6
LA
Lawal Adamu Usman
Senator, Kaduna Central
PDP195,4972019 Senate · 2 runs—
7
HO
HUNKUYI OTHMAN SULEIMAN
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP181,9552019 Senate—
8
BB
BALA BARNABAS YUSUF
2019 senate candidate (APC)
APC133,2872019 Senate—
9
IH
IBRAHIM HAMISU
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC101,3642019 house—
10
UB
UMAR BARDE YAKUBU
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP92,5472019 house—
11
TA
TAJUDEEN ABBAS
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC90,3252019 house—
12
MA
MAGAJI AMOS GWAMNA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP77,5792019 house—
13
HS
HON.GARBA SHEHU NICHOLAS
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP75,3702019 house—
14
SB
SHEHU BALARABE
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC72,6402019 house—
15
SS
SANI SHEHU
2019 senate candidate (PRP)
PRP70,6132019 Senate—
16
MA
MUNIR AHMED MOHAMMED
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC64,4432019 house—
17
LM
LADAN MUKHTAR SHEHU
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC61,3202019 house—
18
JA
Jonathan Asake
2023 governorship candidate
LP58,2832023 Governor · 3.77%—
19
MG
MUHAMMAD GARBA DATTI
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC52,8172019 house—
20
GS
GABRIEL SALEH ZOCK
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC50,5032019 house—
21
DU
DAVID UMAR
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP50,4962019 house—
22
HI
HABU ISHAYA SARKI
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC39,4072019 house—
23
AA
AHMED ABDULLAHI ZUBAIRU
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP35,9562019 house—
24
WY
WASHIRI YAHAYA
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC34,0222019 house—
25
AH
AHMED HASSAN.J.
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP32,3522019 house—
26
AZ
AHMED ZARIA ABDU
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP31,2822019 house—
27
HI
HAMZA IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC30,3982019 house—
28
RM
RABIU MUHAMMAD LAWAL
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP29,7062019 house—
29
BS
BASHIR SAKADADI IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP27,5712019 house—
30
HI
HAMZA ISHAQ
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP24,8232019 house—
31
AE
ABUBAKAR EKENE ADAMS
2019 house candidate (APGA)
APGA16,8132019 house—
32
AD
ADAMU DANLAMI
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC16,5872019 house—
33
IK
Ibrahim Khalid Mustapha
Senator, Kaduna North
PDP14,3822019 house—
34
HS
Haruna Saeed
2019 governor candidate (SDP)
SDP9,8282019 Governor · 0.52%—
35
PS
PROF. SHEHU USMAN ADAMU
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC9,7782019 house—
36
SR
SHEKARI RIJO SHEKARI
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP9,6092019 Senate—
37
IH
IBRAHIM HAUWA FUNTUA
2019 senate candidate (APGA)
APGA7,4232019 Senate—
38
KI
KAWU IBRAHIM YAKASAI
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP5,8962019 house—
39
KP
KURE PHILEMON PETER
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC5,8512019 house—
40
AT
Ahmad Tijjani Omar
2019 governor candidate (PRP)
PRP5,6262019 Governor · 0.3%—
41
AS
ABDULLAHI SHUAIBU
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP5,4902019 Senate—
42
SA
SULEIMAN ABDULLAHI
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC3,8902019 Senate—
43
AI
ABDULLAHI IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC3,4112019 house · 2 runs—
44
BB
BENEDICT BAKO KURAH
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC2,7412019 Senate—
45
PD
Polycarp Danladi Gankon
2019 governor candidate (APGA)
APGA2,4052019 Governor · 0.13%—
46
BM
BELLO MUSA
2019 senate candidate (MPN)
MPN2,1772019 Senate—
47
MA
MIKAH ADAMU SULE
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP2,0572019 house—
48
SA
Sani Abdulkadir
2019 governor candidate (NNPP)
NNPP2,0252019 Governor · 0.11% · 2 runs—
49
OM
Othman Mustapha Bakano
2019 governor candidate (APA)
APA1,9872019 Governor · 0.11%—
50
AU
AHMED USMAN
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP1,9012019 house—
51
MS
MAILAFIYA SHEHU BAMALLI
2019 senate candidate (NRM)
NRM1,5902019 Senate—
52
AB
ABUJAZID BASHIR
2019 senate candidate (PRP)
PRP1,5562019 Senate—
53
BJ
BULUS JAMES
2019 senate candidate (PRP)
PRP1,5462019 Senate—
54
MK
Muhammad Kabir Uthman
2019 governor candidate (MPN)
MPN1,5332019 Governor · 0.08%—
55
SS
SHUAIBU SIRAJO
2019 senate candidate (PDC)
PDC1,3022019 Senate—
56
MA
Muhammed Aliyu Galadima
2019 governor candidate (NRM)
NRM1,1512019 Governor · 0.06%—
57
IS
Ibrahim Suleiman
2019 governor candidate (ADA)
ADA1,0112019 Governor · 0.05%—
58
JM
JOSHUA MADAKI JOY
2019 house candidate (APGA)
APGA9572019 house—
59
AA
ADAMU ALIYU NUHU
2019 senate candidate (CAP)
CAP9182019 Senate—
60
AO
AKINSOYINU OLAKUNLE OLUFEMI
2019 senate candidate (PPN)
PPN8812019 Senate—
61
US
UMAYA SULEIMAN SAMSON
2019 house candidate (LM)
LM8232019 house—
62
AM
ALIYU MUHAMMAD LAWAL
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP7582019 Senate—
63
AU
ALIYU USMAN WAZIRI
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP7242019 house—
64
AA
Abubakar Aliyu
2019 governor candidate (CAP)
CAP6632019 Governor · 0.04%—
65
DA
DALAHATU ABU-DARDAI ABULKADIR
2019 house candidate (KP)
KP6132019 house—
66
KA
Kabir Ahmed Jibril
2019 governor candidate (PPA)
PPA5942019 Governor · 0.03%—
67
AS
ANCHAU SULEIMAN MUNTARI
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP5832019 house—
68
HM
HASSAN MICHAEL PETER
2019 senate candidate (LP)
LP5662019 Senate—
69
HU
HASSAN UMAR SA'IDU
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP5572019 house—
70
SI
SHEHU ISMAEEL
2019 senate candidate (KP)
KP4582019 Senate—
71
SY
Solomon Yahaya Ikagwu
2019 governor candidate (NPC)
NPC4492019 Governor · 0.02%—
72
MI
MUHAMMED INUWA HARUNA
2019 senate candidate (PPA)
PPA4142019 Senate—
73
KR
KYARI REMON
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP3962019 house—
74
AM
ABDULRAHMAN MOHAMMED
2019 senate candidate (AGAP)
AGAP3912019 Senate—
75
IZ
IBRAHIM ZUBAIRU
2019 house candidate (APA)
APA3522019 house—
76
SK
SOLOMON KOGI TUKURAH
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP3342019 house—
77
MH
Metoh H. Yakubu
2019 governor candidate (AGA)
AGA3242019 Governor · 0.02%—
78
AA
Abdullahi Awwal Aliyu
2019 governor candidate (UDP)
UDP3162019 Governor · 0.02%—
79
TH
TIJANI HALIMA TURAKI
2019 senate candidate (ABP)
ABP3132019 Senate—
80
IY
IBRAHIM YUSUF
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC2792019 Senate—
81
ML
MUSA LAZARUS
2019 senate candidate (CAP)
CAP2772019 Senate—
82
P
PATRICK
2019 senate candidate (PPN)
PPN2522019 Senate—
83
TL
THADDEUS LIKITA ASHEI
2019 senate candidate (ANN)
ANN2392019 Senate—
84
AM
Ahmad Muhammad
2019 governor candidate (GPN)
GPN2382019 Governor · 0.01%—
85
AA
ADAMA ABUBAKAR HARUNA
2019 senate candidate (PPA)
PPA2332019 Senate—
86
KB
KUKWA BETTY T.
2019 house candidate (MPN)
MPN2312019 house—
87
YA
YUSUF ADAMU
2019 house candidate (MPN)
MPN2312019 house—
88
MS
MOHAMMED SULMAILA SHEHU KACHIA
2019 senate candidate (A)
A2052019 Senate—
89
AL
AHMED LAWAL
2019 house candidate (MPN)
MPN1882019 house—
90
DP
DAUDA PHILIBUS
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN1762019 Senate—
91
HH
HABU HUSSAINA
2019 senate candidate (DPC)
DPC1752019 Senate—
92
SM
Salim Muhammad
2019 governor candidate (APP)
APP1622019 Governor · 0.01%—
93
EP
Emmanuel Parah Bako
2019 governor candidate (NCP)
NCP1622019 Governor · 0.01%—
94
AM
ABDULLAHI MOHAMMED
2019 senate candidate (LP)
LP1602019 Senate—
95
AI
Adamu Idris Chado
2019 governor candidate (DPC)
DPC1572019 Governor · 0.01%—
96
UH
USMAN HAFSAT M. B.
2019 senate candidate (NEPP)
NEPP1502019 Senate—
97
SA
Shehu Abubakar
2019 governor candidate (PPN)
PPN1472019 Governor · 0.01%—
98
YG
YAHAYA GOJEH
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP1452019 house—
99
FK
FRANCIS KWADEMI HEZRON
2019 senate candidate (PT)
PT1372019 Senate—
100
EY
EPHRAIM YAKUBU
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC1372019 house—
101
MT
MOHAMMED TAUHEED
2019 senate candidate (MMN)
MMN1362019 Senate—
102
DI
DANBAWA ISHAKU
2019 senate candidate (NPC)
NPC1342019 Senate—
103
AS
Aminu Sabo
2019 governor candidate (ANN)
ANN1332019 Governor · 0.01%—
104
MT
MUAZU TUKUR
2019 house candidate (APGA)
APGA1322019 house—
105
AO
AKINSOYINU OLAKUNLE OLUWAFEMI
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN1312019 Senate—
106
AA
ADAMU ABDULRASHID ABUBAKAR
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP1272019 house—
107
UI
Umar Ibrahim Farouk
2019 governor candidate (LP)
LP1252019 Governor · 0.01%—
108
BS
BALARABE SALEH
2019 senate candidate (DPC)
DPC1222019 Senate—
109
MS
Mansur Suleiman
2019 governor candidate (NEPP)
NEPP1212019 Governor · 0.01%—
110
AM
ADEOYE MICHAEL OLATUNJI
2019 senate candidate (CAP)
CAP1142019 Senate—
111
UU
Umar Uba
2019 governor candidate (NIP)
NIP1022019 Governor · 0.01%—
112
YA
Yahaya Alhassan Marafa
2019 governor candidate (UPN)
UPN992019 Governor · 0.01%—
113
JM
Jamilu Mohammad
2019 governor candidate (A)
A972019 Governor · 0.01%—
114
SR
Shika Rabiatu Sulaiman
2019 governor candidate (NAC)
NAC882019 Governor · 0%—
115
MF
Muhammad Fatima Binta
2019 governor candidate (RP)
RP862019 Governor · 0%—
116
BS
BALA SAGIR
2019 senate candidate (A)
A792019 Senate—
117
MJ
MOSES JULIUS A
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP762019 house—
118
US
Umar Suleiman
2019 governor candidate (DA)
DA742019 Governor · 0% · 2 runs—
119
SA
Suleiman Abdulrasheed
2019 governor candidate (MMN)
MMN682019 Governor · 0%—
120
AA
Abubakar Abdullahi
2019 governor candidate (ZLP)
ZLP672019 Governor · 0%—
121
AR
Ahmad Rabiu Bello
2019 governor candidate (HDP)
HDP662019 Governor · 0%—
122
MS
MUSA SILAS TANKO
2019 house candidate (APGA)
APGA652019 house—
123
MA
MARUF ABDULAHI
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA642019 Senate—
124
MH
MUSA HABILA BABE
2019 house candidate (LM)
LM632019 house—
125
MJ
Muhammed Jibrin Muntaka
2019 governor candidate (ID)
ID582019 Governor · 0%—
126
SJ
SOBA JIBRIN SHEHU
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP572019 house—
127
IA
IBRAHIM ALIYU MUSTAPHA
2019 house candidate (AGAP)
AGAP562019 house—
128
BB
BUKSU BUHARI
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA542019 Senate—
129
AS
AWAISU SHEHU KASSIM
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA542019 Senate—
130
AH
ABDULLAHI HUSSAIN
2019 senate candidate (PPN)
PPN542019 Senate—
131
TT
TAMBAYA TUKUR
2019 house candidate (NRM)
NRM532019 house—
132
HT
Halliru Tafida Abdullahi
2019 governor candidate (MRDD)
MRDD522019 Governor · 0%—
133
AN
ABDULLAHI NUHU
2019 senate candidate (MMN)
MMN522019 Senate—
134
MA
MUHAMMAD AISHATU USMAN T.
2019 senate candidate (A)
A492019 Senate—
135
AI
AYUBA IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (AA)
AA492019 Senate—
136
SM
SALISU MUSA
2019 senate candidate (NEPP)
NEPP482019 Senate—
137
SY
SULEIMAN YAKUBU MUSA
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC472019 house—
138
YS
YAKUBU SHEHU ZAKARI
2019 senate candidate (ZLP)
ZLP442019 Senate—
139
AI
ADZE ILIYA UNGBOZE
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC422019 house—
140
JD
JOHN DOMINIC BUAYIN
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP422019 house—
141
IM
IBRAHIM MUSA
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC382019 house—
142
EH
Ezekiel Habila
2019 governor candidate (LM)
LM362019 Governor · 0%—
143
HI
HASSANA IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (ABP)
ABP352019 house—
144
SS
SULEIMAN SHEHU S.
2019 senate candidate (LP)
LP342019 Senate—
145
GD
GARBA DANLAMI MUHAMMAD MADOBI
2019 house candidate (CAP)
CAP342019 house—
146
IA
Iliyasu Aminu Mustapha
2019 governor candidate (AA)
AA322019 Governor · 0%—
147
AI
ABUBAKAR IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (ZLP)
ZLP302019 Senate—
148
IM
IDRIS MOHAMMED
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP302019 house—
149
WS
WANKA STEPHEN BAHAGO
2019 house candidate (AGA)
AGA272019 house—
150
MS
MUHAMMED SHITTU
2019 house candidate (HDP)
HDP272019 house—
151
MT
MUHAMMED TUKUR ZUBAIRU
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN262019 Senate—
152
OS
OLORUNNIYI SUNDAY JOHN
2019 house candidate (ANN)
ANN262019 house—
153
YA
Yusuf Abdulfatai
2019 governor candidate (WTPN)
WTPN232019 Governor · 0%—
154
MI
MUAZU IDRIS
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP212019 house—
155
MH
MUHAMMED HAMISU ABUBAKAR
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP202019 Senate—
156
SU
SALISU USMAN
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA192019 house—
157
WB
WASIU BELLO
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC172019 house—
158
IA
IBRAHIM AHMED
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC162019 house—
159
ZA
ZAKARIYAU ADAMU
2019 house candidate (CAP)
CAP152019 house—
160
MU
Muhammed Umar
2019 governor candidate (JMPP)
JMPP142019 Governor · 0%—
161
MD
MUSA DALHAT SANI
2019 house candidate (A)
A122019 house—
162
RH
RAJI HASSAN
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC122019 house—
163
AS
ABBA SULAIMAN
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA112019 house—
164
BH
BITRUS HASSAN
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP112019 house—
165
SA
SAMAILA ADAMU GADO
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC102019 house—
166
BJ
BUGAI JONAH
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT102019 house—
167
KB
KADON BAJJU JOHN
2019 house candidate (CAP)
CAP102019 house—
168
SM
Sunday Marshall Katung
Senator, Kaduna South
PDP———
169
MN
Mohammed Namadi Sambo
Governor of Kaduna State (2007–2010)
PDP———
170
PI
Patrick Ibrahim Yakowa
Governor of Kaduna State (2010–2012)
PDP———
171
MR
Mukhtar Ramalan Yero
Governor of Kaduna State (2012–2015)
PDP———
172
MS
Muhammad Sani Abdullahi
2023 Senate candidate, Kaduna Central
APC———
173
BA
Bulus Audu
2023 Senate candidate, Kaduna South
APC———
174
MA
Michael Ayuba
2023 Senate candidate, Kaduna South
LP———
175
YD
Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
2023 Vice-Presidential candidate (LP)
LP———
176
YH
YASHIM HANNAH
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA———
177
BT
BELLO TAFIDA
2019 house candidate (DPC)
DPC———
178
SI
SALEH ISMAIL
2019 house candidate (NRM)
NRM———
179
JC
JEAN CHRISTIAN ISHAYA
2019 house candidate (DPC)
DPC———
Underlying source data
Political Data for Kaduna State

The past results and contributor inputs the 2027 prediction above is built from.

2023 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Atiku / OkowaPDP436,82341.2%
2Tinubu / ShettimaAPC318,01030.0%
3Obi / Baba-AhmedLP233,66322.0%
4Kwankwaso / IdahosaNNPP70,3806.6%
2019 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Buhari / OsinbajoAPC993,44560.5%
2Atiku / ObiPDP649,61239.5%
2023 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Uba SaniAPC730,00247.2%
2Isa AshiruPDP719,19646.5%
3Jonathan AsakeLP58,2833.8%
2019 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1NASIR AHMAD EL-RUFAIAPC1,045,42755.3%
2ISA MOHAMMAD ASHIRUPDP814,16843.1%
3Haruna SaeedSDP9,8280.5%
4Ahmad Tijjani OmarPRP5,6260.3%
5Polycarp Danladi GankonAPGA2,4050.1%
6Sani AbdulkadirNNPP2,0250.1%
7Othman Mustapha BakanoAPA1,9870.1%
8Muhammad Kabir UthmanMPN1,5330.1%
9Muhammed Aliyu GaladimaNRM1,1510.1%
10Ibrahim SuleimanADA1,0110.1%
11Abubakar AliyuCAP6630.0%
12Kabir Ahmed JibrilPPA5940.0%
13Solomon Yahaya IkagwuNPC4490.0%
14Metoh H. YakubuAGA3240.0%
15Abdullahi Awwal AliyuUDP3160.0%
16Ahmad MuhammadGPN2380.0%
17Salim MuhammadAPP1620.0%
18Emmanuel Parah BakoNCP1620.0%
19Adamu Idris ChadoDPC1570.0%
20Shehu AbubakarPPN1470.0%
21Aminu SaboANN1330.0%
22Umar Ibrahim FaroukLP1250.0%
23Mansur SuleimanNEPP1210.0%
24Umar UbaNIP1020.0%
25Yahaya Alhassan MarafaUPN990.0%
26Jamilu MohammadA970.0%
27Shika Rabiatu SulaimanNAC880.0%
28Muhammad Fatima BintaRP860.0%
29Umar SuleimanDA740.0%
30Suleiman AbdulrasheedMMN680.0%
31Abubakar AbdullahiZLP670.0%
32Ahmad Rabiu BelloHDP660.0%
33Muhammed Jibrin MuntakaID580.0%
34Halliru Tafida AbdullahiMRDD520.0%
35Ezekiel HabilaLM360.0%
36Iliyasu Aminu MustaphaAA320.0%
37Yusuf AbdulfataiWTPN230.0%
38Muhammed UmarJMPP140.0%
Predictions on record
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Illustrative projections aggregated from contributor traces. See our methodology.

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