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Bauchi State 2027 Election Analysis

Projected 2027 results for Bauchi.

+ Add Your Prediction
Top 5 LGAs by Vote — 2023 Presidential
All LGAs →
#LGALeaderVotes% of state
1BauchiPDP118,15015.6%
2Tafawa-BalewaPDP56,8557.5%
3ToroPDP50,4416.7%
4KatagumPDP48,5286.4%
5ShiraPDP42,1985.6%
AlkaleriBauchiBogoroDambanDarazoDassGamawaGamjuwaGiadeItas/GadauJama'areKatagumKirfiMisauNingiShiraTafawa-BalewaToroWarjiZaki118,150
No prediction yet
Wards

20 local governments · 212 wards — no presidential prediction yet — run a model scenario to project this state.

View all wards & polling units →
Bauchi
Capital
BA
State code
Voters & votes
Presidential votes · 2023853,516
Registered voters · 20191,007,741
Presidential votes · 20191,007,741
Governorship votes · 2019992,194
Population statistics
Active phone lines · 20213,711,283
Active phone lines · 20203,897,442
NIN enrolment
Male 1,779,666 · Female 981,490
2,761,156

2027 Election Trend

Our crowd-sourced prediction for Bauchi.

No forecast published yet
A Bauchi projection will show here once contributor analyses are aggregated.

2027 Declared Candidates

Who's running so far — not a result, the election hasn't happened yet.

Presidential · 2027

Historical Candidates · 2023

The leading candidates for each office in Bauchi, from the most recent election.

Presidential · 2023
1
PDP385,241
2
APC276,563
3
NNPP65,569
4
LP26,367
Governor · 2023
1
PDP525,280
2
APC432,272
4
Others16,331
Senatorial · 2023
1
PDP104,878
2
PDP102,043
3
APC175,505

Incumbents

The people currently holding Bauchi State's top elective offices — tap a row for the history of that seat.

OfficeNameParty
Governor
2023–2027
Bala MohammedPDP▸
Senator · Central
2023–2027
Abdul NingiPDP▸
Senator · North
2023–2027
Samaila Dahuwa KailaPDP▸
Senator · South
2023–2027
Shehu Buba UmarAPC▸

House of Representatives

Bauchi's members in the 10th National Assembly (2023–2027), by federal constituency.

ConstituencyMemberParty
Alkaleri/KirfiKabiru Yusuf AlhajiAPC
BauchiAliyu Aminu GaruPDP
Bogoro/Dass/Tafawa BalewaLeko Jafaru GamboAPC
Darazo/GanjuwaMansur Manu SoroPDP
GamawaAdamu Ibrahim GamawaAPC
Jama'Are/Itas GadauRabilu BalaAPC
KatagumAuwalu Abdu GwalabePDP
Misau/DambamAliyu Bappa MisauPDP
Ningi/WarjiHashimu AdamuPDP
Shira/GiadeSani Ibrahim TankoPDP
ToroDabo Ismaila HarunaAPC
ZakiMuhammed Dan Abba ShehuPDP

2027 Heavyweight Politicians

Ranked by the most votes we know they can pull — tap a row for their full vote history.

View every politician in Bauchi (including minor candidates) →
#PoliticianPartyVotes can pullPeak runStrongest LGAs
1
BM
Bala Mohammed
Won 2023 governorship
PDP525,2802023 Governor · 50.78% · 2 runs—
2
MA
MOHAMMED ABDULLAHI ABUBAKAR
2019 governorship runner-up
APC470,5702019 Governor · 2 runs—
3
SA
Sadique Abubakar
2023 governorship runner-up
APC432,2722023 Governor · 41.79%—
4
LY
Lawal Yahaya Gumau
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi South
NNPP250,7252019 Senate · 2 runs—
5
DG
Dahiru Garba
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi South
PDP175,5272019 Senate · 2 runs—
6
SB
Shehu Buba Umar
Senator, Bauchi South
APC175,5052023 Senate · 2 runs—
7
HD
Halliru Dauda Jika
2023 governorship candidate
NNPP120,8712019 Senate · 2 runs—
8
BA
BULKACHUWA ADAMU MUHAMMED
2019 senate candidate (APC)
APC110,6312019 Senate—
9
AN
Abdul Ningi
Senator, Bauchi Central
PDP104,8782023 Senate—
10
SD
Samaila Dahuwa Kaila
Senator, Bauchi North
PDP102,0432023 Senate—
11
SI
Siraj Ibrahim Tanko Muhammad
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi North
APC100,2462023 Senate—
12
MF
MUSTAPHA FAROUK
2019 senate candidate (NNPP)
NNPP92,1402019 Senate—
13
UA
Uba Ahmed Nana
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi Central
APC84,6212023 Senate—
14
RD
RT.HON.YAUBU DOGARA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP73,6092019 house—
15
AY
ABDULLAHI YAKUBU.S
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP69,0882019 house—
16
ML
MUDA LAWAL .U
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC66,0702019 house—
17
BA
BAPPA ALIYU MISAU
2019 senate candidate (PRP)
PRP66,0242019 Senate—
18
IH
Isah Hamma Misau
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi Central
NNPP57,0692019 Senate—
19
NS
NAZIF SULEIMAN MUHAMMED
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP56,3792019 Senate—
20
MS
MUHAMMED SABO .C
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC53,4702019 house—
21
DA
DALHATU ABUBAKAR .K
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC50,0782019 house—
22
AS
ABDULKADIR SAAD .A
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC48,3032019 house—
23
MS
MANU SORO .M
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC45,8672019 house—
24
MA
MUHAMMAD ALI PATE
2019 governorship candidate
PRP45,7362019 Governor—
25
AA
AMINU ALIYU .G
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP43,7272019 house—
26
LH
LAWAL HUSSAINI IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (PRP)
PRP43,3862019 Senate—
27
UB
UBA BASHIR .M
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC32,5532019 house—
28
AF
ABUBAKAR FAGGO .K
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC25,8352019 house—
29
MM
MAKAMA MISAU
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC24,2122019 house—
30
UA
UMAR ABDULKADIR .S
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP23,6802019 house—
31
DC
DAYYABU CHIROMA
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP20,9882019 house—
32
SZ
SALISU ZAKARI
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP20,0342019 house—
33
IH
IBRAHIM HASSAN .G
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP19,8972019 house · 2 runs—
34
BI
BABA IBRAHIM .M
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC18,9762019 house—
35
BN
BABAJI NAZEEF .A
2019 house candidate (NNPP)
NNPP17,3722019 house—
36
AH
ANDULMUMINI HASSAN
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP17,2422019 house—
37
GG
GARBA GOLOLO .M
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC16,6052019 house—
38
Oc
Other candidates
2023 governorship candidate
Others16,3312023 Governor · 1.58%—
39
T(
TATA (ALH) OMAR
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC15,1842019 house—
40
MA
MUHAMMAD AUWAL JATAU
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP14,9852019 house—
41
AY
AHMED YARIMA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP14,5942019 house—
42
AA
AHMED ADAMU ABDULKADIR
2019 senate candidate (MMN)
MMN13,5812019 house · 2 runs—
43
IM
ISA MOHAMMED
2019 house candidate (NNPP)
NNPP12,7482019 house · 2 runs—
44
GA
GARBA A.GAMAWA
2019 senate candidate (PRP)
PRP12,3452019 Senate—
45
BA
BABA ALIYU .G
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP11,0922019 house—
46
UM
USMAN MUHAMMAD .S
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP10,9162019 house—
47
AG
ADAMU GARBA
2019 house candidate (NNPP)
NNPP10,6122019 house—
48
AH
AUWAL HASSAN
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP10,0372019 house—
49
AA
ABUBAKAR AHMED
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP9,5242019 house—
50
AI
ABUBAKAR ISAH
2019 senate candidate (NNPP)
NNPP9,4142019 Senate—
51
AM
AHMED MADAKI
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP9,1112019 house—
52
GD
GARBA DOGO .M
2019 house candidate (NNPP)
NNPP8,9832019 house—
53
TB
TAFAWA BALEWA ABUBAKAR
2019 senate candidate (NNPP)
NNPP8,0912019 Senate—
54
SA
Sani Ahmad
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi South
LP7,1302023 Senate—
55
AM
ADAMU MUSA UMAR
2019 senate candidate (APM)
APM6,0942019 house · 4 runs—
56
MS
MOHAMMED SABO .A
2019 house candidate (NNPP)
NNPP6,0662019 house—
57
IS
IBRAHIM SABO .U
2019 house candidate (A)
A5,0252019 house—
58
MA
MAULA ADAMU .A
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP4,8672019 house—
59
SZ
SANI ZUBAIRU
2019 house candidate (NNPP)
NNPP4,2662019 house—
60
MM
MOHAMMED M.IDRIS
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP3,9202019 Senate—
61
MS
MUAZU SALIHU .H
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN3,8182019 house—
62
AM
ADAMU MAGAJI
2019 house candidate (NNPP)
NNPP3,5802019 house—
63
HI
HARUNA IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP3,0422019 house—
64
SA
SULEIMAN ABUBAKAR
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP2,5822019 Senate—
65
AB
ABDU BAKO
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP2,5302019 house—
66
AM
ABDULMALIK MAHMOUD
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN1,8232019 Senate—
67
BS
BARR. SAMAILA IDRIS
2019 house candidate (NNPP)
NNPP1,6752019 house—
68
UI
UMARU IBRAHIM .A
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN1,5212019 house—
69
MC
Muhammed Chindo
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi South
APGA1,0752023 Senate—
70
YI
Yahaya Idris
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi South
ADP1,0592023 Senate—
71
ND
Naziru Dahiru Usman
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi South
ADC1,0202023 Senate—
72
MS
MOHAMMED SANI BURRA
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN9532019 Senate—
73
IH
Idris Hassan
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi South
APP9512023 Senate—
74
SK
SANTURAKI KABIR
2019 senate candidate (PDC)
PDC9352019 Senate—
75
IS
ISMAIL SHUAIBU.A
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP9132019 house—
76
IS
IBRAHIM SANI
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN7932019 Senate—
77
BU
BABAYO UMAR MISAU
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC7602019 Senate—
78
UD
UMAR DALHA
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP6642019 Senate—
79
AY
ADAMU YAKUBU JIBRIN
2019 senate candidate (APP)
APP5952019 house · 3 runs—
80
MN
MUSA NADABO ISAH
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC5422019 Senate—
81
AA
AMINU ABDULLAHI
2019 senate candidate (MPN)
MPN4802019 Senate—
82
BU
BABAGIDA USMAN SHEHU
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC4672019 Senate—
83
IA
IDRIS ABUBAKAR
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN4542019 house—
84
SU
SAMAILA UMAR
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP4412019 Senate—
85
UA
UMAR ABUBAKAR
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC3482019 house—
86
MB
MOHAMMED BAYI
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD3432019 house—
87
AA
ABDULLAHI ADAMU
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD3332019 house—
88
AU
ALIYU UMAR KAFI
2019 senate candidate (ACD)
ACD3172019 Senate—
89
HS
HUSSAIN SAMAILA
2019 senate candidate (APM)
APM3032019 Senate—
90
IA
IBRAHIM ALIYU
2019 house candidate (DPC)
DPC3012019 house · 2 runs—
91
MY
MUHAMMED YAHAYA
2019 house candidate (MAJA)
MAJA2712019 house—
92
AH
AUFA HASSAN ADAMU
2019 senate candidate (ACD)
ACD2702019 Senate—
93
MA
MOH'D ABUBAKAR
2019 senate candidate (APP)
APP2622019 Senate—
94
ML
MUHAMMED LAWAL
2019 senate candidate (ACD)
ACD2432019 Senate—
95
KI
KASUWA ISA
2019 senate candidate (APP)
APP2352019 Senate—
96
MA
MUSTAPHA ABDUL
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN2332019 house—
97
NS
NASIRU SALE
2019 house candidate (PDC)
PDC2022019 house—
98
IB
IDRIS BABAJI .A
2019 house candidate (APM)
APM1982019 house—
99
FA
FAIZA ABDULLAHI
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA1902019 Senate—
100
SA
SADIQ ABUBAKAR
2019 house candidate (APM)
APM1822019 house—
101
BS
BABALE SHEHU
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC1762019 house—
102
NG
NURU GARBA
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA1682019 Senate—
103
DM
DAGUMA MUHAMMAD A.A
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP1662019 Senate—
104
MA
MUSTAPHA ABDULLAHI
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA1532019 Senate—
105
AK
ABDULRAHMAN KAWU
2019 house candidate (APM)
APM1482019 house—
106
BS
BALA SABO
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC1462019 house—
107
AL
AHMAD LADO IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (DPC)
DPC1352019 Senate—
108
KM
KAWU MOHAMMED
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC1352019 house—
109
FA
FAROUK AHMED .U
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP1332019 house—
110
MM
MUSTAPHA MOHAMMAD
2019 senate candidate (DPC)
DPC1312019 Senate—
111
NI
NURA IDRIS
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN1202019 house—
112
GY
GARBA YUNUSA
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP1192019 Senate—
113
UI
UMAR ISAH .N
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC1192019 house—
114
IB
IBRAHIM BALA MAIDAWA
2019 senate candidate (MAJA)
MAJA1072019 Senate—
115
KB
KAWU BABALE .Z
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC1072019 house—
116
MS
MUAZU SULAIMAN
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA1052019 house—
117
IA
IBRAHIM AYUBA
2019 senate candidate (MMN)
MMN1012019 Senate—
118
AA
ALIYU ABUBAKAR
2019 house candidate (DPC)
DPC932019 house—
119
SI
SALEHI ISA
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC892019 house—
120
MI
MUSTAPHA IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA872019 house—
121
WI
WAZIRI ISA
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP842019 house—
122
AM
ABDULLAHI MILLA
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP842019 house—
123
II
ISA IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (MAJA)
MAJA742019 Senate—
124
LH
LIMAN HASSAN
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC702019 house—
125
BA
BELLO ABUBAKAR .M
2019 house candidate (NRM)
NRM662019 house—
126
BU
BASHIR UMAR .D
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC642019 house—
127
SM
SALE MALAM .B
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD632019 house—
128
AD
AMINU DAHIRU .A
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD582019 house—
129
DA
DAHIRU ALHAJI
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD512019 house—
130
SS
SUPASO SANI
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA452019 house—
131
LS
LAWAN SALISU
2019 house candidate (DPC)
DPC372019 house—
132
RA
RABIU ADAMU
2019 house candidate (ABP)
ABP352019 house—
133
MS
MUSA SHEHU
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP352019 house—
134
MA
MAHMOOD ABDULMALIK
2019 house candidate (MAJA)
MAJA352019 house—
135
AU
AISHA USMAN
2019 house candidate (MMN)
MMN312019 house—
136
SM
SANI MAIKASUWA
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD302019 house—
137
HA
HABILA ALI
2019 house candidate (MMN)
MMN282019 house—
138
EI
EL-MANSUR ISAH
2019 house candidate (MAJA)
MAJA272019 house—
139
SU
SALIU USMAN
2019 house candidate (MAJA)
MAJA272019 house—
140
MH
MUHAMMAD HAMIDU
2019 house candidate (JMPP)
JMPP262019 house—
141
SH
SANI HALADU .J
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD242019 house—
142
MD
MOHAMMED DAI-YABU
2019 house candidate (MAJA)
MAJA232019 house—
143
AC
AHMAD CAPTAIN .Y
2019 house candidate (NRM)
NRM232019 house—
144
I.
ISAHSUMAILA .M
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP232019 house—
145
AA
AWALU AZARE
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP222019 house—
146
DA
DANJUMA AMINU
2019 house candidate (UPC)
UPC212019 house—
147
SA
SALISU ABDULHAMID
2019 house candidate (APP)
APP212019 house—
148
AU
ALHAJI UMAR
2019 house candidate (APP)
APP212019 house—
149
WA
WAZIRI ABUBAKAR
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN192019 house—
150
UH
UMAR HUSSAINI
2019 house candidate (DPC)
DPC172019 house—
151
HI
HAMZA INUWA .B
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD152019 house—
152
IY
Isa Yuguda
Governor of Bauchi State (2007–2015)
ANPP———
153
GM
Ghazali Mohammed Mijinyawa
2023 Senate candidate, Bauchi North
NNPP———
Underlying source data
Political Data for Bauchi State

The past results and contributor inputs the 2027 prediction above is built from.

2023 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Atiku / OkowaPDP385,24151.0%
2Tinubu / ShettimaAPC276,56336.6%
3Kwankwaso / IdahosaNNPP65,5698.7%
4Obi / Baba-AhmedLP26,3673.5%
2019 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Buhari / OsinbajoAPC798,42879.2%
2Atiku / ObiPDP209,31320.8%
2023 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Bala MohammedPDP525,28050.8%
2Sadique AbubakarAPC432,27241.8%
3Halliru Dauda JikaNNPP60,4965.8%
4Other candidatesOthers16,3311.6%
2019 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1BALA ABDULKADIR MOHAMMEDPDP475,88848.0%
2MOHAMMED ABDULLAHI ABUBAKARAPC470,57047.4%
3MUHAMMAD ALI PATEPRP45,7364.6%
Predictions on record
+ Add your prediction
No predictions yet for Bauchi.

Illustrative projections aggregated from contributor traces. See our methodology.

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