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Adamawa State 2027 Election Analysis

Projected 2027 results for Adamawa.

+ Add Your Prediction
Top 5 LGAs by Vote — 2023 Presidential
All LGAs →
#LGALeaderVotes% of state
1Yola NorthPDP54,5909.3%
2Yola SouthPDP45,2027.7%
3HongPDP44,5337.6%
4SongPDP36,4576.2%
5JadaPDP34,9966.0%
DemsaFuforeGanyeGirieGombiGuyukHongJadaLamurdeMadagaliMaihaMayo-BelwaMichikaMubiNorthMubiSouthNumanShellengSongTeungoYolaNorthYolaSouth54,590
No prediction yet
Wards

21 local governments · 226 wards — no presidential prediction yet — run a model scenario to project this state.

View all wards & polling units →
Yola
Capital
AD
State code
Voters & votes
Presidential votes · 2023731,140
Registered voters · 2019788,344
Presidential votes · 2019788,344
Governorship votes · 2019984,544
Population statistics
Active phone lines · 20213,376,618
Active phone lines · 20203,545,582
NIN enrolment
Male 1,558,561 · Female 1,074,690
2,633,251

2027 Election Trend

Our crowd-sourced prediction for Adamawa.

No forecast published yet
A Adamawa projection will show here once contributor analyses are aggregated.

2027 Declared Candidates

Who's running so far — not a result, the election hasn't happened yet.

Presidential · 2027

Historical Candidates · 2023

The leading candidates for each office in Adamawa, from the most recent election.

Presidential · 2023
1
PDP333,114
2
APC154,489
3
LP85,524
4
NNPP8,442
Governor · 2023
Senatorial · 2023

Incumbents

The people currently holding Adamawa State's top elective offices — tap a row for the history of that seat.

OfficeNameParty
Governor
2023–2027
Ahmadu Umaru FintiriAPCelected PDP▸
Senator · Central
2023–2027
Aminu Iya AbbasPDP▸
Senator · North
2023–2027
Amos YohannaPDP▸
Senator · South
2023–2027
Binos Dauda YaroePDP▸

House of Representatives

Adamawa's members in the 10th National Assembly (2023–2027), by federal constituency.

ConstituencyMemberParty
Demsa/Lamurde/NumanKwamoti LaoriPDP
Fufore/SongAliyu Wakili BoyaAPC
Ganye/Jada/Mayo Belwa/ToungoMohammed Inuwa BassiPDP
Gombi/HongJames Shuaibu BarkaPDP
Guyuk/ShellengKobis Ari ThimnuPDP
Madagali/MichikaZakaria Dauda NyampaPDP
Maiha/Mubi North/Mubi SouthJa'afar Abubakar MagajiAPC
Yola North/Yola South/GireiAbubakar Baba ZangoAPC

2027 Heavyweight Politicians

Ranked by the most votes we know they can pull — tap a row for their full vote history.

View every politician in Adamawa (including minor candidates) →
#PoliticianPartyVotes can pullPeak runStrongest LGAs
1
AA
Atiku Abubakar
2023 Presidential candidate (PDP)
ADC6,984,5202023 Presidential · 29.07%—
2
AU
Ahmadu Umaru Fintiri
Won 2023 governorship
PDP430,8612023 Governor · 50.46%—
3
AD
Aishatu Dahiru Ahmed
2023 governorship runner-up
APC398,7882023 Governor · 46.71% · 2 runs—
4
UA
Umara Ahmadu
Won 2019 governorship
PDP376,5522019 Governor · 43.22%—
5
MJ
Mohammed Jibrilla
2019 governorship runner-up
APC336,3862019 Governor · 38.61%—
6
BD
Binos Dauda Yaroe
Senator, Adamawa South
PDP164,7412019 Senate—
7
Oc
Other candidates
2019 governor candidate
—158,3692019 Governor · 18.18%—
8
AA
ABUBAKAR AHMAD MDALLAHYIDI
2019 senate candidate (APC)
APC118,1302019 Senate—
9
NM
Nyako Murtala
2019 governorship candidate
ADC113,2372019 Governor—
10
MM
MODIBBO MURTALA MOHAMMED
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP96,5302019 Senate—
11
AA
ABDULRAUF ABDUL KABIR MODDIBO
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC80,4532019 house—
12
IE
ISHAKU ELISHA CLIFF
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP79,3372019 Senate—
13
KB
KWAMOTI BITRUS LAORI
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP69,5802019 house—
14
GM
GARBA MASI BINTA
2019 senate candidate (APC)
APC63,2192019 Senate—
15
AS
ABDULRAZAK S.NALDAS
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC62,3742019 house—
16
KM
KABIRU MUKTAR
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP61,4362019 house—
17
JS
JAFARU SULEIMAN RIBADU
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP48,4762019 house—
18
JA
JA"AFAR ABUBAKA MAGAJI
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC43,1172019 house—
19
ZD
ZAKARIA DAUDA NYAMPA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP40,3322019 house—
20
MM
MOHAMMED M.SAIDU
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP36,7692019 house—
21
MU
MUSTAPHA UMAR MADAWAKI
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC36,0302019 Senate—
22
SI
SADIQ IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC34,3792019 house—
23
GG
GIDEON GOROKI
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP32,6882019 house—
24
UB
UMAR BABANGIDA MAINA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP31,6772019 house—
25
YB
YUSUF BUBA YAKUBU
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC30,4242019 house—
26
MI
MUSTAPHA IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC29,2222019 house—
27
OB
OLVADI BEMA MADAYI
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC28,5462019 house—
28
PJ
PUKUMA JAMES TARTUS
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP27,9222019 house—
29
AP
AHMAOU PHILIP GUTUWA
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC20,9882019 house—
30
BA
BUBA ABDULRAHMAN
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP19,6272019 Senate—
31
AD
ADAMUS DALI USMAN
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC19,3172019 house—
32
PS
PATRICIA SEUBITTERRE YAKUBU
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC17,4232019 Senate—
33
AA
AMINU AARON YADUNA
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC13,0132019 house—
34
PM
PAWA MAYRAM E.
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC13,0012019 Senate—
35
MA
MUHAMMED ABUBAKAR AHIJO
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC12,2732019 house—
36
UA
UMAR ALFABELEL
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC11,2982019 house—
37
GT
GAMACHE TITUS
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC5,4452019 house—
38
HA
HASSAN ALIYU
2019 house candidate (KP)
KP4,5312019 house—
39
IA
ISA AHMED YERIMA
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP4,1172019 house—
40
IY
ISMAILA YAMUSA
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP4,0652019 Senate—
41
MC
MAHALAILU CALVIN ERISON
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP3,0052019 Senate—
42
AY
ADUMUN YOHANA
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP2,3582019 house—
43
GE
GABSISO ESTHER
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP2,3412019 house—
44
YA
YONGO ANTHONY TOUGH
2019 senate candidate (PPC)
PPC1,8662019 Senate—
45
ST
SIMON TOMPEYO
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC1,8332019 house—
46
SZ
SANUSI ZAILNI YAHYA
2019 house candidate (ASO)
ASO1,8332019 house—
47
NA
NJIDDA ABUBAKA GAGARA
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC1,7432019 house—
48
GA
GARBA AHAJI SALIHU
2019 senate candidate (ANP)
ANP1,5532019 Senate—
49
MI
MAMMAN INUWA
2019 house candidate (PDM)
PDM1,4152019 house—
50
KI
KWACHIE ILIYA YAME
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP1,1742019 house—
51
DS
DUNGUS SAFRAT
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP1,1012019 house—
52
MS
MICHIKA SAIFUL-MULUK SALEH
2019 senate candidate (ASD)
ASD1,1002019 Senate—
53
HB
HAMIS BN ABDULKARIM
2019 senate candidate (KP)
KP1,0882019 Senate—
54
KJ
KWAWO JIM AUDU
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC8892019 house—
55
DV
DOGO VICTOR
2019 house candidate (PPC)
PPC8322019 house—
56
WW
WADUMNA WABULARI
2019 senate candidate (AGA)
AGA7942019 Senate—
57
HK
HUSSAINI KOLO
2019 senate candidate (ACD)
ACD7142019 Senate—
58
YG
YUSUF GIFT SHALLANGWA
2019 senate candidate (NPM)
NPM6532019 Senate—
59
BG
BULUS GODIYA
2019 senate candidate (ACD)
ACD5822019 Senate—
60
CA
COMRADE ALFRED AFRICANUS
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP5782019 Senate—
61
ZH
ZANKAYA HARUNA
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD5442019 house—
62
JJ
JALO JESON JOHNSLEY
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP5412019 house—
63
SC
STEPHEN CAROLINE
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD5332019 house—
64
MM
MISA MUHAMMAMAD
2019 house candidate (ANP)
ANP5092019 house—
65
SD
SUNDAY DUDARI
2019 house candidate (ABP)
ABP5012019 house—
66
IM
ILIYASU MUSTAPHA
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA4792019 Senate—
67
AA
AITIYA ABEL
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN4162019 house—
68
SB
SHALLANGWA BUNU MAHMUD
2019 senate candidate (KP)
KP3552019 Senate—
69
IS
ILIYASU SHUAIBU
2019 senate candidate (PPN)
PPN3412019 Senate—
70
ZU
ZACHARY USMAN TAHIRU
2019 senate candidate (ABP)
ABP3402019 Senate—
71
AG
AUWAL GARBA
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA3382019 Senate—
72
FH
FAKUTA HYELLAZIYA NAINA
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD3232019 house—
73
IA
ISA AHMED HATYATU
2019 senate candidate (APDA)
APDA3012019 Senate—
74
MM
MAISANU MUSA ALI
2019 house candidate (PRP)
PRP2982019 house—
75
YZ
YENTOH ZAINAB DAHIRU
2019 house candidate (ACP)
ACP2982019 house—
76
SA
SAMBA ABDULKADIR
2019 house candidate (ANP)
ANP2592019 house—
77
YD
YERIMA DANTATA
2019 senate candidate (PT)
PT2552019 Senate—
78
RA
RAYMOND AYUBA SHALL
2019 house candidate (ABP)
ABP2532019 house—
79
MR
MBASALA REUBEN BASHAN
2019 senate candidate (PPN)
PPN2452019 Senate—
80
CD
CHARLES DANIEL
2019 senate candidate (ACD)
ACD2372019 Senate—
81
SI
SHEIK IBRAHIM MUHAMMAD
2019 senate candidate (APM)
APM2372019 Senate—
82
GH
GIWA HARUNA JACOB
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN2342019 house—
83
BJ
BALA JACON DAKWALI
2019 house candidate (NPM)
NPM2172019 house—
84
MM
MARK MOSES
2019 senate candidate (PPC)
PPC1912019 Senate—
85
SI
SANI ISRAEL ONIMIISI
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD1912019 house—
86
AM
AMINU MUHAMMAD BALA
2019 senate candidate (MRDD)
MRDD1782019 Senate—
87
GJ
GOKIR JUSTINA ALI
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD1762019 house—
88
NA
NUHU AGNESS
2019 senate candidate (PT)
PT1752019 Senate—
89
AB
ALEX BENNYI
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT1382019 house—
90
NI
NJIDDA ISMAILA
2019 senate candidate (AA)
AA1322019 Senate—
91
JP
JONATHAN POOPE
2019 house candidate (ANP)
ANP1272019 house—
92
BB
BELLO BEMIP
2019 house candidate (PPC)
PPC1272019 house—
93
AA
ANGELINA AUGUSTINE
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN1092019 house—
94
MM
MOHAMMED MAHMUD
2019 house candidate (APDA)
APDA1092019 house—
95
AS
ABUBAKAR SALIHU
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD1042019 house—
96
LZ
LYDIA ZIRA
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP992019 Senate—
97
SM
SADIQ MUSA KHALID
2019 house candidate (FJP)
FJP982019 house—
98
PN
PARDON NELSON
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN952019 house—
99
MB
MUHAMMADU BUHARI BUGEMA
2019 house candidate (ABP)
ABP922019 house—
100
AH
ABDULNASIR HAMMAN UMAR
2019 house candidate (AA)
AA912019 house—
101
AM
AHMED MAMMUR
2019 house candidate (AGA)
AGA862019 house—
102
PF
PHANUEL FAITH
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT822019 house—
103
DS
DAUDA SIMON
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT822019 house—
104
SI
SHARHABILU IYAH
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA782019 Senate—
105
RS
ROSELINE SALIHU
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN772019 house—
106
ZA
ZIRA AMOS KWADA
2019 senate candidate (PPN)
PPN762019 Senate—
107
IT
IBRAHIM TIZHE JAMES
2019 senate candidate (YPP)
YPP752019 Senate—
108
AM
ABDULRAHMAM MARAS
2019 house candidate (APP)
APP662019 house—
109
EO
EDWIN O.JAMES
2019 house candidate (YPP)
YPP652019 house—
110
SA
SALISU ALIYU BABA
2019 house candidate (ABP)
ABP612019 house—
111
BD
BALA DZARMA MINRAIL
2019 house candidate (AGA)
AGA612019 house—
112
TD
TIMOTHY D. MAJORS
2019 house candidate (YPP)
YPP572019 house—
113
VF
VANDI FILLIE
2019 senate candidate (PT)
PT532019 Senate—
114
BM
BILYA MOHAMMED
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA322019 house—
115
BO
BITRUS OGA
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT312019 house—
116
GP
GAKNUNG PIUS GUTUWA
2019 house candidate (ACD)
ACD302019 house—
117
SI
SANI IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (YPP)
YPP262019 house—
118
DA
DANDONALD ALAHIRAH
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN252019 house—
119
SI
SULEIMA ILIYASU
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA222019 house—
120
BU
BABAJO UMAR
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT212019 house—
121
UG
UENFA GAMA
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN172019 house—
122
ZS
ZAROS SANGLAMS
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN132019 house—
123
AI
ALIYU ILIYASU
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA122019 house—
124
AI
Aminu Iya Abbas
Senator, Adamawa Central
PDP———
125
AY
Amos Yohanna
Senator, Adamawa North
PDP———
126
BJ
Bala James Ngilari
Governor of Adamawa State (2014–2015)
PDP———
127
BJ
Bindo Jibrilla
Governor of Adamawa State (2015–2019)
APC———
128
AN
Abdul-Aziz Nyako
Senator-elect, Adamawa Central
APC———
129
AH
Ahmadu Hamman
2023 Senate candidate, Adamawa Central
NNPP———
130
IE
Ishaku Elisha Abbo
Senator-elect, Adamawa North
APC———
131
AD
Abdullahi Dauda Belel
2023 Senate candidate, Adamawa North
NNPP———
132
AI
Adamu Ismaila Numan
2023 Senate candidate, Adamawa South
APC———
Underlying source data
Political Data for Adamawa State

The past results and contributor inputs the 2027 prediction above is built from.

2023 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Atiku / OkowaPDP333,11457.0%
2Tinubu / ShettimaAPC154,48926.5%
3Obi / Baba-AhmedLP85,52414.6%
4Kwankwaso / IdahosaNNPP8,4421.4%
2019 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Atiku / ObiPDP410,26652.0%
2Buhari / OsinbajoAPC378,07848.0%
2023 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Ahmadu Umaru FintiriPDP430,86150.5%
2Aishatu Dahiru AhmedAPC398,78846.7%
2019 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Umara AhmaduPDP376,55243.2%
2Mohammed JibrillaAPC336,38638.6%
3Other candidates—158,36918.2%
4Nyako MurtalaADC113,23711.5%
Predictions on record
+ Add your prediction
No predictions yet for Adamawa.

Illustrative projections aggregated from contributor traces. See our methodology.

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