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Borno State 2027 Election Analysis

Projected 2027 results for Borno.

+ Add Your Prediction
Top 5 LGAs by Vote — 2023 Presidential
All LGAs →
#LGALeaderVotes% of state
1MaiduguriAPC67,79718.9%
2JereAPC33,7609.4%
3BiuPDP24,8826.9%
4Askira/UbaPDP21,4686.0%
5HawulPDP20,2625.7%
AbadamAskira/UbaBamaBayoBiuChibokDamboaDikwaGubioGuzamalaGwozaHawulJereKagaKala/BalgeKondugaKukawaKwayaKusarLakeChadMafaMagumeriMaiduguriMarteMobbarMongunoNgalaNganzaiShani67,797
No prediction yet
Wards

28 local governments · 312 wards — no presidential prediction yet — run a model scenario to project this state.

View all wards & polling units →
Maiduguri
Capital
BO
State code
Voters & votes
Presidential votes · 2023465,287
Registered voters · 2019908,284
Presidential votes · 2019908,284
Governorship votes · 20191,266,967
Population statistics
Active phone lines · 20213,584,766
Active phone lines · 20204,006,368
NIN enrolment
Male 1,457,306 · Female 1,074,445
2,531,751

2027 Election Trend

Our crowd-sourced prediction for Borno.

No forecast published yet
A Borno projection will show here once contributor analyses are aggregated.

2027 Declared Candidates

Who's running so far — not a result, the election hasn't happened yet.

Presidential · 2027

Historical Candidates · 2023

The leading candidates for each office in Borno, from the most recent election.

Presidential · 2023
1
APC196,955
2
PDP147,737
3
LP7,053
4
NNPP3,788
Governor · 2023
Senatorial · 2023

Incumbents

The people currently holding Borno State's top elective offices — tap a row for the history of that seat.

OfficeNameParty
Governor
2023–2027
Babagana ZulumAPC▸
Senator · Central
2023–2027
Kaka Shehu LawanAPC▸
Senator · North
2023–2027
Mohammed Tahir MongunoAPC▸
Senator · South
2023–2027
Mohammed Ali NdumeAPC▸

House of Representatives

Borno's members in the 10th National Assembly (2023–2027), by federal constituency.

ConstituencyMemberParty
Askira Uba/HawulMidala Usman BalamiPDP
Bama/Ngala/Kala BalgeZainab GimbaAPC
Biu/Kwaya Kusar/Shani/BayoMuktar Aliyu BetaraAPC
Damboa/Gwoza/ChibokAhmadu Usman JahaAPC
Dikwa/Mafa/KondugaMohammed Ibrahim BukarAPC
JereAhmad SatomiAPC
Kaga/Gubio/MagumeriUsman ZannahAPC
Kukawa/Mobbar/Abadam/GuzamaliGana Mallam BukarAPC
Maiduguri (Metropolitan)Abdukadir RahisAPC
Monguno/Marte/NganzaiBukar TalbaAPC

2027 Heavyweight Politicians

Ranked by the most votes we know they can pull — tap a row for their full vote history.

View every politician in Borno (including minor candidates) →
#PoliticianPartyVotes can pullPeak runStrongest LGAs
1
BG
BABA GANA UMARA
Won 2019 governorship
APC1,175,4402019 Governor · 92.78%—
2
BZ
Babagana Zulum
Governor of Borno State
APC545,5432023 Governor · 86.1%—
3
KS
Kashim Shettima
Governor of Borno State (2011–2019)
APC342,8982019 Senate—
4
MA
Mohammed Ali Ndume
Senator, Borno South
APC300,6372019 Senate—
5
AU
AHMADU USMAN JAHA
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC151,0312019 house—
6
MB
MUKTAR BETARA ALIYU
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC93,7502019 house—
7
AR
ABDULKADIR RAHIS
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC93,4972019 house—
8
KM
Kudla Milinda Satumari
2023 Senate candidate, Borno South
PDP84,6082019 Senate—
9
SA
SATOMI ALHAJI AHMED
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC82,3702019 house—
10
MA
Mohammed Ali Jajari
2023 governorship runner-up
PDP82,1472023 Governor · 12.96%—
11
KA
KYARI ABUBAKAR SHAIB
2019 senate candidate (APC)
APC76,9632019 Senate—
12
MA
MUHAMMED ABBA AJI
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP75,5692019 Senate—
13
ZG
ZAINAB GIMBA
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC73,8312019 house—
14
MA
MOHAMMED ALKALI IMAM
2019 governorship runner-up
PDP66,1152019 Governor · 5.22%—
15
AM
ABDULSALAM MUSTAPHA KACHALLA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP60,1322019 house—
16
HM
HARUNA MSHELIA
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC51,7632019 house—
17
IM
IBRAHIM MOHAMMED BUKAR
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC45,4382019 house—
18
IL
Isa Lawan
2023 Senate candidate, Borno North
PDP36,0422019 Senate—
19
UZ
USMAN ZANNAH
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC30,6832019 house—
20
EB
EMMANUEL BASSI USMAN
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP30,5602019 house—
21
MT
Mohammed Tahir Monguno
Senator, Borno North
APC28,3602019 house—
22
BG
BUKAR GANA KARETO
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC26,5012019 house—
23
Oc
Other candidates
2019 governor candidate
—25,4122019 Governor · 2.01%—
24
ZM
ZANNA MOHAMMED ABBA GANA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP21,3512019 house—
25
MJ
MOHAMMED JOAN
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP18,7882019 house—
26
BA
BABA ALI KELLU
2019 house candidate (ZLP)
ZLP15,1442019 house—
27
GA
GONI ALI BUKAR
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP9,8632019 house—
28
BS
BUKAR SHUWA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP8,9112019 house—
29
BM
BULAMA MUSTAPHA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP8,0562019 house—
30
DB
DAVID BUBA SHALJABA
2019 senate candidate (ZLP)
ZLP7,7772019 Senate—
31
BA
BILAL ALI
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP7,7222019 house—
32
AB
ALKALI BUKAR ALIBE
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP5,9932019 house—
33
KJ
KYARI JIDAI GADZAMA
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN3,1142019 house—
34
BW
BUKAR WAKIL
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN2,4752019 Senate—
35
MG
MUHAMMAD GUDU GARBA
2019 senate candidate (PPA)
PPA1,1192019 Senate—
36
JM
JIBRIN MUSTAPHA TATABE
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN6252019 Senate—
37
AA
ABBA ABUBAKAR DIWARI
2019 house candidate (KP)
KP5772019 house—
38
MB
MOHAMMED BUKAR SADU
2019 senate candidate (APM)
APM4872019 Senate—
39
AA
ABUBAKAR AWANA ZUBAIRU
2019 senate candidate (C4C)
C4C4832019 Senate—
40
EI
EL-BAFF ISAM ABDALLAH
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP4702019 house—
41
MU
MUSTAPHA UMAR
2019 senate candidate (KP)
KP4392019 Senate—
42
MM
MALA MOHAMMED
2019 senate candidate (NRM)
NRM4292019 Senate—
43
MT
MANGA TIJANI MODU
2019 senate candidate (ID)
ID3622019 Senate—
44
BI
BUNU IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP3472019 Senate—
45
GA
GARBA ADAMU
2019 senate candidate (APM)
APM3392019 Senate—
46
MF
MUSA FATIMA
2019 senate candidate (NEPP)
NEPP3252019 Senate—
47
MA
MUSA ABDULKAREEM ISA
2019 senate candidate (NCMP)
NCMP3172019 Senate—
48
HU
HAMIDU USMAN KIMBA
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP2912019 Senate—
49
MB
MADI BA'ABBA
2019 house candidate (NPM)
NPM2642019 house—
50
BA
BABAGANA ALHAJI GAMBO
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA2332019 Senate—
51
IK
IBRAHIM KACHALLA
2019 senate candidate (BNPP)
BNPP2242019 Senate—
52
MA
MUHAMMAD ALI
2019 senate candidate (PPA)
PPA2222019 Senate—
53
AM
ABDULRAHMAN MOHAMMED TATABE
2019 senate candidate (APM)
APM2212019 Senate—
54
BE
BOKKO EZRA BITRUS
2019 house candidate (ZLP)
ZLP2192019 house—
55
MU
MOHAMMED UMAR RAHIS
2019 senate candidate (KP)
KP2122019 Senate—
56
IB
IBRAHIM BABA
2019 senate candidate (UPN)
UPN2112019 Senate—
57
KF
KADIRI FEMA
2019 senate candidate (APP)
APP2052019 Senate—
58
AM
Ali Modu Sheriff
Governor of Borno State (2003–2011)
UPC1802019 Senate—
59
GY
GARBA YAKUBU
2019 house candidate (ANP)
ANP1752019 house—
60
GA
GONI ALI MUSTAPHA
2019 senate candidate (YES)
YES1712019 Senate · 2 runs—
61
GA
GARBA ABUBAKAR BARMA
2019 senate candidate (UPP)
UPP1692019 Senate—
62
AA
ADO ALI
2019 senate candidate (YES)
YES1672019 Senate—
63
IM
ISA MAMMAN
2019 senate candidate (NPM)
NPM1582019 Senate—
64
UK
UMAR KARETO MUSA
2019 house candidate (ID)
ID1452019 house—
65
TW
TERAB WAKIL
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN1382019 Senate—
66
AA
AHMED ALHAJI MUHAMMAD
2019 senate candidate (PPA)
PPA1382019 Senate—
67
LI
LIMAN ISMAILA
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN1352019 house—
68
MB
MOHAMMED BABAGAN
2019 house candidate (PPA)
PPA1352019 house—
69
HA
HASSAN ALH. GONI
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP1322019 house—
70
UM
USMAN MUSA
2019 house candidate (ANP)
ANP1272019 house—
71
BG
BABAGANA GONI USMAN
2019 house candidate (APM)
APM1162019 house—
72
MK
MOHAMMED KOLO MUKTAR
2019 house candidate (DPP)
DPP1132019 house—
73
MM
MAAJI MAMMAN
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP1002019 house—
74
SA
SHETTIMA ALH MUSA
2019 senate candidate (JMPP)
JMPP942019 Senate—
75
BS
BABAGANA SANUSI
2019 house candidate (UPC)
UPC942019 house—
76
AA
ASHEK A UMAR
2019 house candidate (KP)
KP892019 house—
77
JI
JIBRIN ISA
2019 house candidate (JMPP)
JMPP822019 house—
78
AA
ABUBAKAR ABDULLAHI
2019 house candidate (UPC)
UPC732019 house—
79
HA
HASSAN ABDULLAHI
2019 senate candidate (UPC)
UPC722019 Senate—
80
MM
MOHAMMED MUSTAPHA
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP712019 house—
81
UA
UMAR ALI
2019 senate candidate (YES)
YES692019 Senate—
82
MB
MUHAMMAD BUKAR ALIBE
2019 senate candidate (UPN)
UPN652019 Senate—
83
BM
BUNU MUSTAPHA
2019 house candidate (APP)
APP602019 house · 2 runs—
84
AZ
AJA ZARMA JARMA
2019 senate candidate (UPC)
UPC592019 Senate—
85
BM
BWALA MOHAMMED SAIDU
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP552019 house—
86
RS
RAKIYA SHETIMA SURA
2019 house candidate (KP)
KP542019 house—
87
AU
ALHAJI UMAR MUHAMMAD
2019 house candidate (PPA)
PPA532019 house—
88
BG
BUKAR GAJI IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (CC)
CC482019 house—
89
MB
MUH'D BABAKAKA HUSSAINI
2019 house candidate (GDP)
GDP442019 house—
90
AY
ABDULLAHI YUSUF IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (UPC)
UPC352019 house—
91
TG
TAHIRU GONI KYARI
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN332019 house—
92
TA
TUJJANI ALHAJI MODU
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP312019 house—
93
HB
HAMAT BUKAR
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA292019 house—
94
ML
MUHAMMAD LADAN
2019 house candidate (YES)
YES252019 house—
95
HM
HAMMANI MOSES
2019 house candidate (UPC)
UPC232019 house—
96
HM
HARUNA MUSA BIU
2019 house candidate (GPN)
GPN222019 house—
97
AA
ALI ABUBAKAR NDIRIM
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA202019 house—
98
YI
YAKUBU IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (UPC)
UPC162019 house—
99
IU
ISHAQ USMAN
2019 house candidate (UPC)
UPC152019 house—
100
AG
ADAMU GIDEON DANYA
2019 house candidate (JMPP)
JMPP132019 house—
101
KS
Kaka Shehu Lawan
Senator, Borno Central
APC———
102
MU
Mohammed Umara Kumalia
2023 Senate candidate, Borno Central
PDP———
Underlying source data
Political Data for Borno State

The past results and contributor inputs the 2027 prediction above is built from.

2023 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Tinubu / ShettimaAPC196,95555.0%
2Atiku / OkowaPDP147,73741.3%
3Obi / Baba-AhmedLP7,0532.0%
4Kwankwaso / IdahosaNNPP3,7881.1%
2019 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Buhari / OsinbajoAPC836,49692.1%
2Atiku / ObiPDP71,7887.9%
2023 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Babagana Umara ZulumAPC545,54386.1%
2Mohammed Ali JajariPDP82,14713.0%
2019 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1BABA GANA UMARAAPC1,175,44092.8%
2MOHAMMED ALKALI IMAMPDP66,1155.2%
3Other candidates—25,4122.0%
Predictions on record
+ Add your prediction
No predictions yet for Borno.

Illustrative projections aggregated from contributor traces. See our methodology.

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