17 local governments · 178 wards — no presidential prediction yet — run a model scenario to project this state.
Our crowd-sourced prediction for Yobe.
Who's running so far — not a result, the election hasn't happened yet.
The leading candidates for each office in Yobe, from the most recent election.
The people currently holding Yobe State's top elective offices — tap a row for the history of that seat.
| Office | Name | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|
Governor 2023–2027 | Mai Mala Buni | APC | ▸ |
Senator · East 2023–2027 | Musa Mustapha | APC | ▸ |
Senator · North 2023–2027 | Ahmed Lawan | APC | ▸ |
Senator · South 2023–2027 | Ibrahim Mohammed Bomai | APC | ▸ |
Yobe's members in the 10th National Assembly (2023–2027), by federal constituency.
| Constituency | Member | Party |
|---|---|---|
| Bade/Jakusko | Hassan Ibnjaks | PDP |
| Bursari/Geidam/Yunusari | Lawan Shettima Ali | APC |
| Damaturu/Gujba/Gulani/Tarmuwa | Khadija Bukar Abba Ibrahim | APC |
| Fika/Fune | Muhammad Buba Jajere | PDP |
| Machina/Nguru/Karasuwa/Yusufari | Tijjani Zannah Zakariya | APC |
| Nangere/Potiskum | Fatima Talba | APC |
Ranked by the most votes we know they can pull — tap a row for their full vote history.
| # | Politician | Party | Votes can pull | Peak run | Strongest LGAs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MM Mai Mala Buni Won 2023 governorship | APC | 444,013 | 2019 Governor · 81.26% · 2 runs | — |
| 2 | IA IBRAHIM AHMAD LAWAL 2019 senate candidate (APC) | APC | 144,099 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 3 | IG Ibrahim Gaidam Minister of Police Affairs; former Senator, Yobe East | APC | 139,277 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 4 | SA Sharif Abdullahi 2023 governorship runner-up | PDP | 124,259 | 2023 Governor · 27.95% · 2 runs | — |
| 5 | IM Ibrahim Mohammed Bomai Senator, Yobe South | APC | 118,729 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 6 | UI UMAR ILIYA DAMAGUM 2019 governorship runner-up | PDP | 95,703 | 2019 Governor · 17.52% | — |
| 7 | MH MOHAMMED HASSAN 2019 senate candidate (PDP) | PDP | 89,049 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 8 | TZ TIJJANI ZANNA ZAKARIYA 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 86,358 | 2019 house | — |
| 9 | KB KHADIJA BUKAR ABBA IBRAHIM 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 78,953 | 2019 house | — |
| 10 | AY ABUBAKAR YERIMA IDRISS 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 64,207 | 2019 house | — |
| 11 | HI HON IBRAHIM UMAR POTISKUM 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 61,874 | 2019 house | — |
| 12 | LS LAWAN SHETTIMA ALI 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 59,823 | 2019 house | — |
| 13 | HY HON YAU ZM GALADIMA 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 53,066 | 2019 house | — |
| 14 | HS HON SABO GARBA 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 39,817 | 2019 house | — |
| 15 | ZB ZANIAB BONI HARUNA 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 35,352 | 2019 house | — |
| 16 | MH MAL. HASSAN ALVINJAS 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 31,155 | 2019 house | — |
| 17 | AG ALI GARBA 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 27,145 | 2019 house | — |
| 18 | TA TATA ABBA GANA 2019 senate candidate (PDP) | PDP | 18,059 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 19 | HA HABU ALHAJI BABAYO 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 10,508 | 2019 house | — |
| 20 | AH ALHAJI HASSAN ABBA 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 7,784 | 2019 house | — |
| 21 | Oc Other candidates 2019 governor candidate | — | 6,675 | 2019 Governor · 1.22% | — |
| 22 | HS HON SULAIMAN ADAKWAKI 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 5,315 | 2019 house | — |
| 23 | HB HARUNA BAWA WAZIRI 2019 senate candidate (SDP) | SDP | 1,483 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 24 | HA HON ARI GISHWA 2019 house candidate (BNPP) | BNPP | 1,001 | 2019 house | — |
| 25 | BL BAKUNDI LAWAN 2019 senate candidate (MPN) | MPN | 774 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 26 | II ISAH ISAH 2019 senate candidate (DA) | DA | 511 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 27 | NM NURA MUSA 2019 senate candidate (DA) | DA | 510 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 28 | DH DANJUMA HABILA 2019 senate candidate (APGA) | APGA | 473 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 29 | YJ YAHAYA J. UMAR 2019 house candidate (BNPP) | BNPP | 309 | 2019 house | — |
| 30 | RG RABIU GARBA 2019 senate candidate (BNPP) | BNPP | 232 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 31 | UN UMAR NURA 2019 senate candidate (DA) | DA | 146 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 32 | JH JAJERE HADIZA M. ISA 2019 senate candidate (MPN) | MPN | 132 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 33 | AL Ahmed Lawan Senator, Yobe North | APC | — | — | — |
| 34 | MM Musa Mustapha Senator, Yobe East | APC | — | — | — |
| 35 | MB Mamman Bello Ali Governor of Yobe State (2007–2009) | ANPP | — | — | — |
| 36 | AK Aji Kolomi 2023 Senate candidate, Yobe East | PDP | — | — | — |
| 37 | IB Ilu Bello 2023 Senate candidate, Yobe North | PDP | — | — | — |
| 38 | HA Halilu Abubakar Mazagane 2023 Senate candidate, Yobe South | PDP | — | — | — |
The past results and contributor inputs the 2027 prediction above is built from.
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atiku / Okowa | PDP | 57,968 | 47.2% |
| 2 | Tinubu / Shettima | APC | 49,388 | 40.2% |
| 3 | Kwankwaso / Idahosa | NNPP | 5,684 | 4.6% |
| 4 | Obi / Baba-Ahmed | LP | 919 | 0.7% |
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buhari / Osinbajo | APC | 497,914 | 90.7% |
| 2 | Atiku / Obi | PDP | 50,763 | 9.3% |
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mai Mala Buni | APC | 317,113 | 71.3% |
| 2 | Sharif Abdullahi | PDP | 124,259 | 27.9% |
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAI MALA | APC | 444,013 | 81.3% |
| 2 | UMAR ILIYA DAMAGUM | PDP | 95,703 | 17.5% |
| 3 | Other candidates | — | 6,675 | 1.2% |
Illustrative projections aggregated from contributor traces. See our methodology.