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Kwara State 2027 Election Analysis

Projected 2027 results for Kwara.

+ Add Your Prediction
Top 5 LGAs by Vote — 2023 Presidential
All LGAs →
#LGALeaderVotes% of state
1Ilorin WestAPC74,20319.4%
2Ilorin EastAPC37,0719.7%
3Ilorin SouthAPC36,7349.6%
4BarutenAPC29,5677.7%
5EduAPC29,1287.6%
AsaBarutenEduEkitiIfelodunIlorinEastIlorinSouthIlorinWestIrepodunIsinKaiamaMoroOffaOke-EroOyunPategi74,203
No prediction yet
Wards

16 local governments · 193 wards — no presidential prediction yet — run a model scenario to project this state.

View all wards & polling units →
Ilorin
Capital
KW
State code
Voters & votes
Presidential votes · 2023469,971
Registered voters · 2019447,168
Presidential votes · 2019447,168
Governorship votes · 2019453,433
Population statistics
Active phone lines · 20214,496,801
Active phone lines · 20204,124,984
NIN enrolment
Male 964,009 · Female 810,734
1,774,743

2027 Election Trend

Our crowd-sourced prediction for Kwara.

No forecast published yet
A Kwara projection will show here once contributor analyses are aggregated.

2027 Declared Candidates

Who's running so far — not a result, the election hasn't happened yet.

Presidential · 2027

Historical Candidates · 2023

The leading candidates for each office in Kwara, from the most recent election.

Presidential · 2023
1
APC231,846
2
PDP117,571
3
LP28,682
4
NNPP2,927
Governor · 2023
Senatorial · 2023

Incumbents

The people currently holding Kwara State's top elective offices — tap a row for the history of that seat.

OfficeNameParty
Governor
2023–2027
AbdulRahman AbdulRazaqAPC▸
Senator · Central
2023–2027
Saliu MustaphaAPC▸
Senator · North
2023–2027
Sadiq Suleiman UmarAPC▸
Senator · South
2023–2027
Ashiru Oyelola YisaAPC▸

2027 Heavyweight Politicians

Ranked by the most votes we know they can pull — tap a row for their full vote history.

View every politician in Kwara (including minor candidates) →
#PoliticianPartyVotes can pullPeak runStrongest LGAs
1
AA
ABDULRAHAM ABBULRAZAQ
Won 2019 governorship
APC331,5462019 Governor · 73.12%—
2
AA
AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq
Won 2023 governorship
APC273,4242023 Governor · 59.38%—
3
SY
Shuaib Yaman Abdullahi
2023 governorship runner-up
PDP155,4902023 Governor · 33.77%—
4
OY
OLORIEGBE YAHAYA IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (APC)
APC123,8082019 Senate—
5
RA
RAZAK ATUNWA
2019 governorship runner-up
PDP114,7542019 Governor · 25.31%—
6
SS
Sadiq Suleiman Umar
Senator, Kwara North
APC98,1702019 Senate—
7
AO
Ashiru Oyelola Yisa
Senator, Kwara South
APC89,7042019 Senate—
8
SA
SARAKI ABUBAKAR OLUBUKOLA
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP68,9942019 Senate—
9
AA
ALAJAGUSI ABDULYEKEEN SADIQ
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC68,5852019 house—
10
AA
AHMED ABUBAKAR NDAKENNE
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC58,0452019 house—
11
OA
OLODODO ABDULGANIYU SAKA COOK
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC56,4962019 house—
12
TK
TIJANI KAYODE ISMAIL
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC54,4102019 house—
13
RA
Rafiu Adebayo Ibrahim
2023 Senate candidate, Kwara South
PDP45,1762019 Senate—
14
AM
ABDULRAZAQ MOHAMMED LAWAL
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP42,0682019 house—
15
MO
MUHAMMED OMAR BIO
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC37,9142019 house—
16
OA
OLAWUYI ABDULRAHEEM OLATUNJI
2019 house candidate (APC)
APC33,3862019 house—
17
ZM
ZAKARI MOHAMMED
2019 senate candidate (PDP)
PDP33,3642019 Senate—
18
AO
ABDULWAHAB OLADIMEJI ISSA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP27,7372019 house—
19
DB
DARE BANKOLE
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP26,9542019 house—
20
OT
OLARINOYE TOPE OLAYONU
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP19,4492019 house—
21
HL
Hakeem Lawal
2023 governorship candidate
SDP19,2692023 Governor · 4.11% · 2 runs—
22
HM
HASSAN MAHMUD BABAKO
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP19,1442019 house—
23
AM
ABUBAKAR MUSA
2019 house candidate (PDP)
PDP14,4762019 house—
24
Oc
Other candidates
2023 governorship candidate
Others12,2882023 Governor · 2.75%—
25
TK
Tiamiyu Kolapo Kamorudeen
2019 governor candidate (PPA)
PPA1,4822019 Governor · 0.33%—
26
SA
Sharafadeen A. Kolawole Aderemmy
2019 governor candidate (APA)
APA1,1632019 Governor · 0.26%—
27
MS
MOHAMMED SAIDU
2019 senate candidate (PT)
PT9402019 Senate—
28
AO
Ayorinde O. Adedoyin
2019 governor candidate (A)
A8602019 Governor · 0.19%—
29
AO
AJAYI OLAYEMI BIDEMI
2019 senate candidate (PPN)
PPN4672019 Senate—
30
AE
Aransiola Ezekiel
2019 governor candidate (PDC)
PDC4322019 Governor · 0.1%—
31
OO
ONIYALA OLUYOLA JOHN
2019 senate candidate (ADP)
ADP4222019 Senate—
32
MI
Manzuma Issa
2019 governor candidate (ADC)
ADC3912019 Governor · 0.09%—
33
AR
AJIDE ROTIMI
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT3812019 house—
34
AI
Adisa Ismail Abayomi
2019 governor candidate (AA)
AA3782019 Governor · 0.08%—
35
BS
BUSARI SHAAMSUDDEEN ABOLORE AKANDE
2019 senate candidate (ANRP)
ANRP3312019 Senate—
36
MY
MUSA YAHAYA IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (APN)
APN3142019 Senate—
37
AM
ABDULWAHEED MARIAM
2019 senate candidate (ADP)
ADP3122019 Senate—
38
MA
Mohammed Abubakar Mohammed
2019 governor candidate (APM)
APM2932019 Governor · 0.06% · 2 runs—
39
TM
Tunde Muritala O.
2019 governor candidate (ACPN)
ACPN2722019 Governor · 0.06%—
40
OK
OLAYINKA KAMARDEEN KADIRI
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC2702019 house—
41
BO
BAMIDELE OGUNWALE ISAAC
2019 senate candidate (ANP)
ANP2682019 Senate—
42
AF
AFOLABI FEMI
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT2672019 house—
43
FA
FEMI AYANNIYI BELLO
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT2542019 house—
44
AA
ABUBAKAR ABDULRAHEEM
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC2362019 Senate · 2 runs—
45
KJ
KEHINDE JIMOH LATEEF
2019 house candidate (ANP)
ANP2332019 house—
46
ST
SULEIMAN TOYIN FOLORUNSHO
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT2292019 house—
47
AI
ALADE IYIOLA OLAWOLE M
2019 senate candidate (PDC)
PDC2262019 Senate—
48
MO
MUHAMMED ONAOLAPO TOYIN
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC2232019 Senate—
49
IA
ISMAILA AKEEM
2019 senate candidate (AA)
AA2162019 Senate—
50
JA
JOSEPH ADEWOLE
2019 senate candidate (ADC)
ADC2142019 Senate—
51
OJ
Olajide Joseph Adebola
2019 governor candidate (SDP)
SDP2092019 Governor · 0.05%—
52
JH
JIMOH HASSAN
2019 house candidate (ACPN)
ACPN1992019 house—
53
IW
IBRAHIM WASIU AYINDE
2019 senate candidate (PPA)
PPA1922019 Senate—
54
YM
YAHAYA MOHAMMED
2019 house candidate (ANP)
ANP1852019 house—
55
OS
Oniye Shina Hammed
2019 governor candidate (ADP)
ADP1792019 Governor · 0.04%—
56
AA
AMBALI ABDULAKABIR
2019 senate candidate (ACPN)
ACPN1622019 Senate—
57
AY
Abdulazeez Yinka Oniyangi
2019 governor candidate (NPM)
NPM1482019 Governor · 0.03%—
58
TA
TOYIN ABDULRASHEED SAKA
2019 house candidate (ANP)
ANP1472019 house—
59
AA
ABDULFATAI ABDULRAZAK IRANLOYE
2019 house candidate (AA)
AA1422019 house—
60
AA
AYINLA AKINKUNMI AKINKUNMI
2019 senate candidate (PDC)
PDC1402019 Senate—
61
HM
HASSAN MAUZU
2019 house candidate (PT)
PT1352019 house—
62
ML
Mohammad Liman Abdullahi
2019 governor candidate (ANP)
ANP1342019 Governor · 0.03%—
63
OA
OLUWATOYIN AMOD OWOLABI
2019 house candidate (APN)
APN1342019 house—
64
MF
MOHAMMED FARUK UMAR
2019 senate candidate (LP)
LP1332019 Senate—
65
DY
DIKKO YUNUSA LIMAN
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC1302019 house—
66
AJ
ADEPOJU JOHN DEBO
2019 senate candidate (PPA)
PPA1232019 Senate—
67
AA
ADEKUNLE AYODEJI KODABO
2019 senate candidate (APN)
APN1182019 Senate—
68
YA
YUSUF ABDULATEEF
2019 house candidate (ACPN)
ACPN1182019 house—
69
MA
MOGAJI AISHAT MOPELOLA
2019 house candidate (AA)
AA1172019 house—
70
AY
Abdulmumin Yinka Ajia
2019 governor candidate (ANRP)
ANRP1152019 Governor · 0.03%—
71
KI
KAMAL IBRAHIM
2019 senate candidate (ANP)
ANP1142019 Senate—
72
BA
BABA AHMED
2019 house candidate (ACPN)
ACPN1122019 house—
73
TB
Tosho Babatunde Omotosho A.
2019 governor candidate (NEPP)
NEPP1082019 Governor · 0.02%—
74
IM
IBRAHIM MOHAMMED LADAN
2019 house candidate (APN)
APN1082019 house—
75
BA
Belgore Ahmad Kawu
2019 governor candidate (JMPP)
JMPP1052019 Governor · 0.02%—
76
AS
ADEDIMEJI SAMUEL LALA
2019 senate candidate (PPN)
PPN1022019 Senate—
77
AS
ABDULLATEEF SULYMAN
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC1002019 house—
78
WH
WURAOLA HASIYA GAMBARI
2019 senate candidate (APN)
APN992019 Senate—
79
AY
ADEBAYO Y AKANBI LAWAL
2019 house candidate (AA)
AA992019 house—
80
JI
JIBRIL IBRAHIM
2019 house candidate (PPA)
PPA982019 house—
81
AA
AYINDE ATOLAGBE MOHAMMED
2019 house candidate (PPA)
PPA982019 house—
82
AB
ATOLAGBE BOSEDE ODUNOLA
2019 house candidate (PDC)
PDC952019 house—
83
AO
ABDULRAHEEM OLANIYI JIMOH
2019 house candidate (ACPN)
ACPN912019 house—
84
IA
IDRIS ABDULLAHI A
2019 house candidate (APN)
APN912019 house—
85
OS
OLANIYI SHUAIB YUSUF
2019 house candidate (APN)
APN872019 house—
86
IA
Ibrahim Abdullahi Anifowoshe
2019 governor candidate (MRDD)
MRDD862019 Governor · 0.02%—
87
BG
BAMIDELE GABRIEL ADE
2019 house candidate (ANP)
ANP842019 house—
88
AA
Aina Ayodeji Adetunji
2019 governor candidate (ABP)
ABP832019 Governor · 0.02%—
89
AH
ABDULHAMEED HAFSAT BADA
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC832019 house—
90
AA
ADEKUNLE ADEYEMI SAHEED
2019 house candidate (ADC)
ADC762019 house—
91
AJ
Ayinla John Oloruntoba
2019 governor candidate (NCP)
NCP742019 Governor · 0.02%—
92
PK
Popoola Kehinde Adeyemi
2019 governor candidate (NRM)
NRM742019 Governor · 0.02%—
93
SA
SALIHU ABDULRAHMAN
2019 house candidate (APN)
APN742019 house—
94
AK
ABDULSALAM KUBURAT
2019 senate candidate (LP)
LP722019 Senate—
95
BS
BABATUNDE SULYMAN
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP712019 Senate—
96
PA
Paul Ajiroba
2019 governor candidate (PPN)
PPN672019 Governor · 0.01%—
97
MZ
MOHAMMED ZELIAT
2019 house candidate (ACPN)
ACPN662019 house—
98
UB
USMAN BUGE ISHIAK
2019 senate candidate (ACPN)
ACPN632019 Senate—
99
IM
IBRAHIM MUHAMMED
2019 senate candidate (DA)
DA622019 Senate—
100
SS
Soladoye Samuel Sunday
2019 governor candidate (UPN)
UPN612019 Governor · 0.01%—
101
SA
SULYMAN ADEKUNLE YUSUF
2019 senate candidate (AA)
AA602019 Senate—
102
OA
OLADIPUPO ALIYU ZULUGAMBARI
2019 house candidate (APN)
APN602019 house—
103
AJ
ANJORIN JOHN TEMITAYO
2019 senate candidate (PPN)
PPN582019 Senate—
104
OM
OLOBI MUFUTAU K.O.
2019 house candidate (ACPN)
ACPN582019 house—
105
YK
Yahaya Kale Saádu
2019 governor candidate (MAJA)
MAJA572019 Governor · 0.01%—
106
AN
ABDULGANIYU NUHU
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP572019 house—
107
AK
ABUBAKAR KHADIJAT BIMBO
2019 senate candidate (MPN)
MPN562019 Senate—
108
IA
IBRAHEEM ALFA ABDULRASHEED BOLAKALE
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP562019 house—
109
LO
LATEEF OLABISI BELLO
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN542019 Senate—
110
RT
Rukayat Toyin Tijani
2019 governor candidate (MPN)
MPN532019 Governor · 0.01%—
111
AA
ABDULRAHMAN ABUBAKAR GARBA
2019 senate candidate (A)
A532019 Senate—
112
AM
Alabi Morankinyo
2019 governor candidate (KP)
KP482019 Governor · 0.01%—
113
IA
Issa Aremu Obalowu
2019 governor candidate (LP)
LP452019 Governor · 0.01%—
114
KK
KUTI KAYODE JESSE JULIUS
2019 senate candidate (ACPN)
ACPN442019 Senate—
115
MU
MOHAMMED U. A
2019 senate candidate (PT)
PT442019 Senate—
116
SM
SOLIU MOHAMMED LANRE
2019 senate candidate (AA)
AA412019 Senate—
117
BK
BARUTEN KAIAMA
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN412019 house—
118
AK
Adekunle Kehinde
2019 governor candidate (CAP)
CAP402019 Governor · 0.01%—
119
OA
Oyabambi Adetunji
2019 governor candidate (UDP)
UDP402019 Governor · 0.01%—
120
MS
MUSA SULEIMAN
2019 senate candidate (KP)
KP392019 Senate—
121
JD
JAIYEOLA DEBORAH MOTUNRAYO
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN382019 house—
122
BM
BABATA MOSHOOD ABIOLA ABDULKAREEM
2019 senate candidate (UPN)
UPN372019 Senate—
123
IA
IMAM ABDULRASHEED
2019 house candidate (A)
A372019 house—
124
OG
OMOTOSHO GANIY JAIYEOLA
2019 senate candidate (A)
A352019 Senate—
125
BO
Babatunde Omotosho Tayo
2019 governor candidate (BNPP)
BNPP342019 Governor · 0.01%—
126
OA
OLAGUNJU ABIDOYE
2019 senate candidate (LP)
LP342019 Senate—
127
LA
LUQMAN ADISA ABERE
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN332019 house—
128
OT
OLATEJU TAJUDEEN
2019 senate candidate (PT)
PT322019 Senate—
129
AM
Abdullahi Mohammed
2019 governor candidate (DA)
DA282019 Governor · 0.01%—
130
SS
SAMUEL SABA JOHN
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP272019 Senate—
131
HA
HASSAN ABDUKADIR
2019 house candidate (A)
A262019 house—
132
BQ
BOLADALE QUADRI RAFIU
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN252019 house—
133
CY
Comfort Yinka Kayode
2019 governor candidate (UPP)
UPP242019 Governor · 0.01%—
134
RJ
RASAQ JIMOH AYODELE
2019 house candidate (RP)
RP242019 house—
135
OR
OLADIPO RUTH OMOLADE
2019 house candidate (PPN)
PPN232019 house—
136
MA
MUDASHIRU ALIYU .A
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP232019 house—
137
AY
ABUBAKAR YAHYA
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA222019 house—
138
OB
Omotosho Bamidele Olaitan
2019 governor candidate (GPN)
GPN212019 Governor · 0%—
139
OA
OKANLAWON ADEKUNLE TAIWO
2019 senate candidate (GPN)
GPN212019 Senate—
140
FA
FAYEYE ADEBAYO HENRY SEYE
2019 house candidate (AA)
AA212019 house—
141
MI
MOHAMMED ISIAKA SALAWU
2019 senate candidate (MPN)
MPN202019 Senate—
142
TA
THOMAS ABOLARIN FALADE
2019 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP202019 Senate—
143
MH
MUHAMMED HARUNA GARBA
2019 senate candidate (UPN)
UPN202019 Senate—
144
GS
GIWA SALIHU MUHEDDEEN
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP192019 house—
145
SJ
SALAMI JUMOKE
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA192019 house—
146
GS
GIDEON SABA YISA
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP182019 house—
147
BO
BALOGUN OLALEKAN
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA172019 house—
148
KZ
KOLAWOLE ZECHARIAH .O
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP162019 house—
149
OB
Oshin Bayo David Alaba
2019 governor candidate (WTPN)
WTPN152019 Governor · 0%—
150
MJ
MAKANJUOLA JULIUS
2019 house candidate (SDP)
SDP152019 house—
151
BA
Bada Abullahi Yekini
2019 governor candidate (YDP)
YDP142019 Governor · 0%—
152
MM
MUSTAPHA MUSBAU ABIODUN
2019 house candidate (DA)
DA142019 house—
153
MI
MOHAMMED ILIYASU
2019 house candidate (AA)
AA142019 house—
154
KA
KAWU ALIYU B.
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP132019 house—
155
AO
ADEKEYE OLUWAYOMI FUNSHO
2019 house candidate (UPN)
UPN132019 house—
156
SM
SHERO MOHAMMED
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP132019 house—
157
OB
OLUYEYE BOLA TITI
2019 house candidate (AA)
AA122019 house—
158
LR
LAWAL RAFAT
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP122019 house—
159
AC
AFOLAYAN COMFORT FUNKE
2019 senate candidate (UPP)
UPP112019 Senate—
160
OS
OBAFAYE SAMUEL AYODELE
2019 house candidate (JMPP)
JMPP112019 house—
161
ET
EMMAN TOLU OGUNDELE
2019 senate candidate (UPN)
UPN102019 Senate—
162
OO
OBAYOMI OTUNBA OWOLABI J. OLABODE
2019 house candidate (LP)
LP102019 house—
163
SM
Saliu Mustapha
Senator, Kwara Central
APC———
164
BS
Bukola Saraki
Governor of Kwara State (2003–2011)
PDP———
165
AA
Abdulfatah Ahmed
Governor of Kwara State (2011–2019)
PDP———
166
BA
Bolaji Abdullahi
2023 Senate candidate, Kwara Central
PDP———
167
IA
Isa Adamu Bawa
2023 Senate candidate, Kwara North
PDP———
168
LA
Lola Ashiru
Senator-elect, Kwara South
APC———
169
RA
Ridwanullah Apaokagi
2023 senate candidate (SDP)
SDP———
Underlying source data
Political Data for Kwara State

The past results and contributor inputs the 2027 prediction above is built from.

2023 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Tinubu / ShettimaAPC231,84660.5%
2Atiku / OkowaPDP117,57130.7%
3Obi / Baba-AhmedLP28,6827.5%
4Kwankwaso / IdahosaNNPP2,9270.8%
2019 Presidential
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1Buhari / OsinbajoAPC308,98469.1%
2Atiku / ObiPDP138,18430.9%
2023 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1AbdulRahman AbdulRazaqAPC273,42459.4%
2Shuaib Yaman AbdullahiPDP155,49033.8%
3Hakeem LawalSDP19,2694.1%
4Other candidatesOthers12,2882.8%
2019 Governorship
#CandidatePartyVotes%
1ABDULRAHAM ABBULRAZAQAPC331,54673.1%
2RAZAK ATUNWAPDP114,75425.3%
3Tiamiyu Kolapo KamorudeenPPA1,4820.3%
4Sharafadeen A. Kolawole AderemmyAPA1,1630.3%
5Ayorinde O. AdedoyinA8600.2%
6Aransiola EzekielPDC4320.1%
7Manzuma IssaADC3910.1%
8Adisa Ismail AbayomiAA3780.1%
9Mohammed Abubakar MohammedAPM2930.1%
10Tunde Muritala O.ACPN2720.1%
11Olajide Joseph AdebolaSDP2090.1%
12Oniye Shina HammedADP1790.0%
13Abdulazeez Yinka OniyangiNPM1480.0%
14Mohammad Liman AbdullahiANP1340.0%
15Abdulmumin Yinka AjiaANRP1150.0%
16Tosho Babatunde Omotosho A.NEPP1080.0%
17Belgore Ahmad KawuJMPP1050.0%
18Ibrahim Abdullahi AnifowosheMRDD860.0%
19Aina Ayodeji AdetunjiABP830.0%
20Ayinla John OloruntobaNCP740.0%
21Popoola Kehinde AdeyemiNRM740.0%
22Paul AjirobaPPN670.0%
23Soladoye Samuel SundayUPN610.0%
24Yahaya Kale SaáduMAJA570.0%
25Rukayat Toyin TijaniMPN530.0%
26Alabi MorankinyoKP480.0%
27Issa Aremu Obalowu[73]LP450.0%
28Adekunle KehindeCAP400.0%
29Oyabambi AdetunjiUDP400.0%
30Babatunde Omotosho TayoBNPP340.0%
31Abdullahi MohammedDA280.0%
32Comfort Yinka KayodeUPP240.0%
33Omotosho Bamidele OlaitanGPN210.0%
34Oshin Bayo David AlabaWTPN150.0%
3535 Bada Abullahi YekiniYDP140.0%
Predictions on record
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Illustrative projections aggregated from contributor traces. See our methodology.

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