8 local governments · 105 wards — no presidential prediction yet — run a model scenario to project this state.
Our crowd-sourced prediction for Bayelsa.
Who's running so far — not a result, the election hasn't happened yet.
The leading candidates for each office in Bayelsa, from the most recent election.
The people currently holding Bayelsa State's top elective offices — tap a row for the history of that seat.
| Office | Name | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|
Governor 2024–2028 | Douye Diri | APCelected PDP | ▸ |
Senator · Central 2023–2027 | Konbowei Benson | PDP | ▸ |
Senator · East 2023–2027 | Benson Agadaga | PDP | ▸ |
Senator · West 2023–2027 | Henry Seriake Dickson | PDP | ▸ |
Bayelsa's members in the 10th National Assembly (2023–2027), by federal constituency.
| Constituency | Member | Party |
|---|---|---|
| Brass/Nembe | Marie Ebikake | PDP |
| Ekeremor/Sagbama | Fred Agbedi | PDP |
| Ogbia | Obordor Mitema | PDP |
| Southern Ijaw | Rodney Ebikebina Ambaiowei | PDP |
| Yenagoa/Kolokuna/Opokuma | Oboku Abonsizibe Oforji | PDP |
Ranked by the most votes we know they can pull — tap a row for their full vote history.
| # | Politician | Party | Votes can pull | Peak run | Strongest LGAs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DL David Lyon Won 2019 governorship | APC | 352,552 | 2019 Governor · 70.57% | — |
| 2 | DD Douye Diri 2019 governorship runner-up | PDP | 175,196 | 2023 Governor · 38.29% · 3 runs | — |
| 3 | TS Timipre Sylva Governor of Bayelsa State (2007–2012) | APC | 110,108 | 2023 Governor · 60.93% | — |
| 4 | FD FESTUS DAUMIEBI SUNDAY 2019 senate candidate (APC) | APC | 70,998 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 5 | PI PREYE INFLUENCE GOODLUCK OSEKE 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 56,804 | 2019 house | — |
| 6 | SS STEPHEN SINIKIEM AZAIKI 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 51,638 | 2019 house | — |
| 7 | EL EWHRUDJAKPO LAWRENCE O. 2019 senate candidate (PDP) | PDP | 49,912 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 8 | AY AGBEDI YEITIEMONE FREDERICK 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 48,078 | 2019 house | — |
| 9 | DE DEGI EREMIENYO BIOBARAKU WANGAGRA 2019 senate candidate (APC) | APC | 43,303 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 10 | IS ISRAEL SUNNY GOLI 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 41,150 | 2019 house | — |
| 11 | KB Konbowei Benson Senator, Bayelsa Central | PDP | 34,105 | 2019 house | — |
| 12 | II IPIGANSI IZAGARA BLESSING 2019 senate candidate (PDP) | PDP | 32,363 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 13 | KM KARIMO MATHEW ADO 2019 senate candidate (APC) | APC | 20,219 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 14 | EM EBIKAKE MARIE ENENIMIETE 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 19,279 | 2019 house | — |
| 15 | DF DAUNEMIGHA FAMOUS OROUPAFEBO 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 19,159 | 2019 house | — |
| 16 | BE BLANKSON EDWIN OSOMKIME 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 16,993 | 2019 house | — |
| 17 | NB NIMI BARIGHA AMANGE 2019 senate candidate (ADC) | ADC | 16,936 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 18 | OA OBUA AZIBAPU FRED 2019 house candidate (PDP) | PDP | 12,048 | 2019 house | — |
| 19 | RJ REX-OGBUKU JUDE AMIDITOR 2019 house candidate (ADC) | ADC | 9,805 | 2019 house | — |
| 20 | SO SAMUEL OGBUKU 2019 house candidate (APC) | APC | 7,995 | 2019 house | — |
| 21 | Oc Other candidates 2019 governor candidate | — | 3,827 | 2019 Governor · 0.77% · 2 runs | — |
| 22 | OA OSOMU AUGUSTUS 2019 house candidate (FJP) | FJP | 2,917 | 2019 house | — |
| 23 | EE EREFAGHA EBEN - SPIFF 2019 house candidate (ADC) | ADC | 1,756 | 2019 house | — |
| 24 | MA MARK ASARI F 2019 house candidate (ADC) | ADC | 1,230 | 2019 house | — |
| 25 | CS CHARLES SILVA OPUALA 2019 senate candidate (A) | A | 1,159 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 26 | WI WILLS INIRUO 2019 senate candidate (LP) | LP | 570 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 27 | BA BEFORD AKAHKOLI 2019 senate candidate (ADC) | ADC | 221 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 28 | OO OPU-UGE OGIRIKI 2019 house candidate (ADP) | ADP | 215 | 2019 house | — |
| 29 | DE DOUYEMIEGHA-SUOWARI EBINDU RUTH 2019 senate candidate (NUP) | NUP | 200 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 30 | EO EZE OBENA AZIBOLANARI 2019 house candidate (MMN) | MMN | 196 | 2019 house | — |
| 31 | OP OMULALA PIUS 2019 house candidate (ADC) | ADC | 173 | 2019 house | — |
| 32 | ES EBIKI SELEMIEYESEICHE FAITHFUL 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 156 | 2019 house | — |
| 33 | ZE ZIPREBO EMOMOTIMI PIUS 2019 house candidate (NRM) | NRM | 147 | 2019 house | — |
| 34 | SG SINCLAIR GEORGE ADIONI 2019 house candidate (A) | A | 140 | 2019 house | — |
| 35 | IK IGOLIKUMO KWOKWO 2019 house candidate (ADC) | ADC | 137 | 2019 house | — |
| 36 | OF OWI FESTUS LIMAN 2019 house candidate (LP) | LP | 132 | 2019 house | — |
| 37 | IB INDIAMAOWEI BOLOUS SYLVIA 2019 house candidate (YDP) | YDP | 128 | 2019 house | — |
| 38 | AB AMGBARE BOMADI 2019 house candidate (YDP) | YDP | 122 | 2019 house | — |
| 39 | DF DAUZUO FAWEI 2019 senate candidate (SDP) | SDP | 119 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 40 | AN APPOLUS NENGIMINI 2019 senate candidate (SDP) | SDP | 100 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 41 | AD AYAH DICKSON JOHN 2019 senate candidate (YDP) | YDP | 98 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 42 | JM JOSIAH-WILSON MUNENEZIBE HAROLD 2019 house candidate (NRM) | NRM | 78 | 2019 house | — |
| 43 | AA ABSON ABALABA 2019 house candidate (APM) | APM | 77 | 2019 house | — |
| 44 | AS AWAKI STANLY EBINABIANO 2019 senate candidate (DA) | DA | 75 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 45 | OA OJOKO ANTHONY 2019 senate candidate (MMN) | MMN | 74 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 46 | C- CLEMENT - JOE ALAGOATARIMFAGHA 2019 senate candidate (NRM) | NRM | 72 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 47 | DA DOMOTIMI AMADEIN NATHAN 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 64 | 2019 house | — |
| 48 | BI BARRO IDIDADE RAMSON 2019 house candidate (CAP) | CAP | 63 | 2019 house | — |
| 49 | AA APPAH AMANAWA GODWILL 2019 senate candidate (LP) | LP | 58 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 50 | KB KETEBU BOLERE ELIZABETH 2019 senate candidate (NRM) | NRM | 51 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 51 | AT AUGUSTINE TIMINO-ODI 2019 house candidate (PPA) | PPA | 45 | 2019 house | — |
| 52 | EC EMESUA CLINTON NARU 2019 house candidate (LP) | LP | 44 | 2019 house | — |
| 53 | AK AMGBARE KENNY KENEWENEMOR 2019 senate candidate (NRM) | NRM | 42 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 54 | OO OSUOTO OVUAM LIGHT 2019 house candidate (LP) | LP | 41 | 2019 house | — |
| 55 | IM INIEKAILANYO MICAH NGOZI 2019 senate candidate (CAP) | CAP | 40 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 56 | SE SIKPI EBIMOBOWEI 2019 senate candidate (GDPN) | GDPN | 39 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 57 | MI MAXWELL INEBIMO 2019 senate candidate (APM) | APM | 38 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 58 | SO SEIFEGHA O. PRONTO 2019 house candidate (APM) | APM | 37 | 2019 house | — |
| 59 | AJ AYAH J. B. ETEIMO 2019 house candidate (YDP) | YDP | 37 | 2019 house | — |
| 60 | YT YEMOLEIAHA TONYE FELIX 2019 house candidate (DA) | DA | 37 | 2019 house | — |
| 61 | OP OGBEKE PREYE JEFFREY 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 35 | 2019 house | — |
| 62 | OE OMEMU ENEINKANDE H. 2019 senate candidate (ADC) | ADC | 32 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 63 | GB GEOFFREY BONZEME OTOBO 2019 house candidate (RBNP) | RBNP | 32 | 2019 house | — |
| 64 | IG ITEKESI GOSPEL STAINLESS 2019 house candidate (GDPN) | GDPN | 31 | 2019 house | — |
| 65 | EE EMOMOTIMI EMMANUEL 2019 senate candidate (APM) | APM | 29 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 66 | GK GBALIKUMA KEN GBALIGHA 2019 house candidate (FJP) | FJP | 29 | 2019 house | — |
| 67 | EY EZRA YOHANA JAMAICA 2019 senate candidate (DA) | DA | 26 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 68 | BT BOFEDE TORUSOU OKPORU 2019 house candidate (GPN) | GPN | 25 | 2019 house | — |
| 69 | AD ABRAHAM DIDIEKERE 2019 senate candidate (PPA) | PPA | 24 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 70 | IJ ISIAYIE JOHN KEMI 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 24 | 2019 house | — |
| 71 | ON OGETE NESTOR GILBERT 2019 house candidate (DA) | DA | 24 | 2019 house | — |
| 72 | PP PERETU PATIENCE 2019 house candidate (PPA) | PPA | 23 | 2019 house | — |
| 73 | CO CHARLES OKOLO AYIBATARI LELEGITE 2019 house candidate (DPC) | DPC | 23 | 2019 house | — |
| 74 | OG OPUENE GODFREY FRIDAY 2019 house candidate (LP) | LP | 22 | 2019 house | — |
| 75 | OA OGBORIYO AUGUSTINE 2019 senate candidate (LP) | LP | 21 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 76 | GW GODAY WILSON 2019 house candidate (DA) | DA | 21 | 2019 house | — |
| 77 | PE PERETIEMO EBI MICHEAL 2019 senate candidate (AA) | AA | 19 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 78 | PA PERETU ALEXANDER BEKEAREREBO 2019 senate candidate (PPA) | PPA | 19 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 79 | PO PRINCE ONIEKPE AWOFU 2019 senate candidate (SDP) | SDP | 19 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 80 | ZE ZIDOUGHA ENEYI GIDEON ROLAND 2019 house candidate (GPN) | GPN | 19 | 2019 house | — |
| 81 | KG KIEN GOVERNOR D. 2019 senate candidate (NAC) | NAC | 17 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 82 | EK EBIKEME KONBOYE INNOCENT 2019 house candidate (NRM) | NRM | 16 | 2019 house | — |
| 83 | VM VICTOR MAGBODO BEN 2019 senate candidate (SNP) | SNP | 15 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 84 | WK WHISKY KINGSLEY SELEKEOWE 2019 house candidate (DA) | DA | 15 | 2019 house | — |
| 85 | OO OGBOTOBO OPALI 2019 house candidate (NRM) | NRM | 15 | 2019 house | — |
| 86 | FT FRANK-EKPUKE TIMI ALEX 2019 house candidate (NAC) | NAC | 14 | 2019 house | — |
| 87 | OD OMOH DIKEALA 2019 senate candidate (GDPN) | GDPN | 13 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 88 | SP SAMUEL PRICILLIA 2019 house candidate (A) | A | 13 | 2019 house | — |
| 89 | OF OWEIFABO FELIX EBIKEMEFA 2019 senate candidate (CAP) | CAP | 12 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 90 | JO JACK OKUBOEBI CHARLES 2019 senate candidate (YDP) | YDP | 12 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 91 | EO ENU OTONYE 2019 senate candidate (PPN) | PPN | 12 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 92 | JA JOHNSON A. EDWARD-FIERBAGHA 2019 house candidate (ANDP) | ANDP | 12 | 2019 house | — |
| 93 | AB AKPODI BK. AGAGOWEI 2019 senate candidate (KP) | KP | 11 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 94 | AD AZUAN DOGOOD FELIX 2019 senate candidate (DA) | DA | 10 | 2019 Senate | — |
| 95 | PE PATRICK EREKPO EBIEM 2019 house candidate (A) | A | 10 | 2019 house | — |
| 96 | ON ORIBO NAMIE EINSTEIN 2019 house candidate (SDP) | SDP | 10 | 2019 house | — |
| 97 | BA Benson Agadaga Senator, Bayelsa East | PDP | — | — | — |
| 98 | HS Henry Seriake Dickson Senator, Bayelsa West | PDP | — | — | — |
| 99 | TT Timipa Tiwei Orunimighe 2023 Senate candidate, Bayelsa Central | APC | — | — | — |
| 100 | BD Biobarakuma Degi 2023 Senate candidate, Bayelsa East | APC | — | — | — |
| 101 | WA Wilson Ayakpo Dauyegha 2023 Senate candidate, Bayelsa West | APC | — | — | — |
| 102 | AD AGUA DIEPREYE 2019 house candidate (UPN) | UPN | — | — | — |
| 103 | FE FULUDU EBIKPOLADE VINCENT 2019 house candidate (YPP) | YPP | — | — | — |
| 104 | ZF ZAUKUMOR FUNGEOWEI SUPREME 2019 house candidate (ZLP) | ZLP | — | — | — |
| 105 | SD SEGU DOUTUWA GEORGE 2019 house candidate (GDPN) | GDPN | — | — | — |
| 106 | DO DICKSON OWEIFIGHE BEINMO 2019 house candidate (MPN) | MPN | — | — | — |
| 107 | WF WOLO FELIX BIWORIYE 2019 house candidate (UPN) | UPN | — | — | — |
| 108 | NM NUMONTEI MESHACK SINTEI 2019 house candidate (YPP) | YPP | — | — | — |
| 109 | NZ NELSON ZUOBEM 2019 house candidate (ZLP) | ZLP | — | — | — |
| 110 | OJ OGOLI JOYFUL RICHARD 2019 house candidate (MPN) | MPN | — | — | — |
| 111 | OS ONYE SAMUEL VICTOR 2019 house candidate (NRM) | NRM | — | — | — |
| 112 | HE HARCOURT EKPE JOHN 2019 house candidate (PT) | PT | — | — | — |
| 113 | UI UFOT IBEBIERERE INNOCENT 2019 house candidate (UPN) | UPN | — | — | — |
| 114 | DS DEBO SEIGHA 2019 house candidate (APM) | APM | — | — | — |
| 115 | TA TENGI ATONYE FAUSTINAH 2019 house candidate (YDP) | YDP | — | — | — |
| 116 | YO YOUSUO OKITIMOKO 2019 house candidate (ZLP) | ZLP | — | — | — |
The past results and contributor inputs the 2027 prediction above is built from.
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atiku / Okowa | PDP | 63,416 | 41.8% |
| 2 | Obi / Baba-Ahmed | LP | 47,005 | 31.0% |
| 3 | Tinubu / Shettima | APC | 40,158 | 26.5% |
| 4 | Kwankwaso / Idahosa | NNPP | 804 | 0.5% |
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atiku / Obi | PDP | 197,933 | 62.5% |
| 2 | Buhari / Osinbajo | APC | 118,821 | 37.5% |
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douye Diri | PDP | 175,196 | 38.3% |
| 2 | Timipre Sylva | APC | 110,108 | 60.9% |
| 3 | Other candidates | — | 2,250 | 0.8% |
| # | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Lyon | APC | 352,552 | 70.6% |
| 2 | Douye Diri | PDP | 143,172 | 28.7% |
| 3 | Other candidates | — | 3,827 | 0.8% |
Illustrative projections aggregated from contributor traces. See our methodology.