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Ikot Ekpene · 2027 Presidential prediction

We project each ward, then add them up. A candidate can have several predictions — their votes are the importance-weighted average, and swing votes close the gap.

Ikot Ekpene total

The aggregate of every ward below. Predictions are made per ward.

APC
1 prediction: 78.6%
18,946
78.6%
NDC
1 prediction: 25.5%
6,140
25.5%
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)0

Ward by ward

Each ward in Ikot Ekpene: the predictions per candidate (broken into components), swing votes, and past results.

8,819 registered
APC
projected votes
1,555
63.5%
Base projection1,555 · 63.5%
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu970
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno463
Party Popularity122
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
975
39.8%
Base projection975 · 39.8%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi855
Party Popularity98
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso22
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)0
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 1,054 · LP 950 · PDP 414 · NNPP 31 · 2,449 total · won APC
10,571 registered
APC
projected votes
2,304
79.5%
Base projection2,304 · 79.5%
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu1,212
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno947
Party Popularity145
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
775
26.7%
Base projection775 · 26.7%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi647
Party Popularity116
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso12
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)0
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 1,317 · PDP 846 · LP 719 · NNPP 17 · 2,899 total · won APC
7,809 registered
APC
projected votes
1,678
84.7%
Base projection1,678 · 84.7%
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu984
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno601
Party Popularity93
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
292
14.7%
Base projection292 · 14.7%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi209
Party Popularity74
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso9
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)11
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 1,139 · PDP 571 · LP 256 · NNPP 13 · APGA 1 · YPP 1 · 1,981 total · won APC
6,085 registered
APC
projected votes
1,441
91.8%
Base projection1,441 · 91.8%
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu727
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno636
Party Popularity78
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
252
16.1%
Base projection252 · 16.1%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi183
Party Popularity63
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso6
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)0
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 790 · PDP 568 · LP 203 · NNPP 8 · 1,569 total · won APC
6,910 registered
APC
projected votes
2,241
90.8%
Base projection2,241 · 90.8%
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno1,072
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu1,046
Party Popularity123
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
433
17.5%
Base projection433 · 17.5%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi328
Party Popularity99
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso6
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)0
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 1,137 · PDP 958 · LP 365 · NNPP 9 · 2,469 total · won APC
9,930 registered
APC
projected votes
2,123
72.1%
Base projection2,123 · 72.1%
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu1,245
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno731
Party Popularity147
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
960
32.6%
Base projection960 · 32.6%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi831
Party Popularity118
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso11
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)0
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 1,353 · LP 923 · PDP 653 · NNPP 16 · 2,945 total · won APC
4,266 registered
APC
projected votes
1,102
88.2%
Base projection1,102 · 88.2%
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno543
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu497
Party Popularity62
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
251
20.1%
Base projection251 · 20.1%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi198
Party Popularity50
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso3
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)0
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 540 · PDP 485 · LP 220 · NNPP 4 · 1,249 total · won APC
10,343 registered
APC
projected votes
1,846
71.1%
Base projection1,846 · 71.1%
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu1,109
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno613
Party Popularity124
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
747
28.8%
Base projection747 · 28.8%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi624
Party Popularity99
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso24
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)5
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 1,252 · LP 736 · PDP 574 · NNPP 34 · YPP 2 · 2,598 total · won APC
12,927 registered
APC
projected votes
1,975
75.8%
Base projection1,975 · 75.8%
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu1,155
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno696
Party Popularity124
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
630
24.2%
Base projection630 · 24.2%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi508
Party Popularity99
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso23
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)1
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 1,330 · PDP 647 · LP 590 · NNPP 35 · APGA 2 · YPP 1 · ZLP 1 · 2,606 total · won APC
6,480 registered
APC
projected votes
1,234
82.4%
Base projection1,234 · 82.4%
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu671
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno488
Party Popularity75
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
355
23.7%
Base projection355 · 23.7%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi280
Party Popularity60
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso15
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)0
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 729 · PDP 436 · LP 311 · NNPP 22 · 1,498 total · won APC
7,663 registered
APC
projected votes
1,447
79%
Base projection1,447 · 79%
Candidate Popularity Bola Tinubu898
Supporter Popularity Umo Eno457
Party Popularity92
Running-mate Popularity Kashim Shettima0
NDC
projected votes
470
25.7%
Base projection470 · 25.7%
Candidate Popularity Peter Obi375
Party Popularity73
Running-mate Popularity Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso22
≈Swing Votes (Unknown)0
Historical results
2023 Presidential: APC 976 · LP 417 · PDP 408 · NNPP 31 · 1,832 total · won APC
See the full Ikot Ekpene profile (history, wards, polling units) →
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